2009 Playoff Predictions

It's the first time in 2 years that the Cubs won't be influencing my bracket. The last and I had the A's winning it all and the Tigers and Cardinals losing in the first round. It's always important to remember when reading my entries that I'm an idiot. If you want, that you can enter, or throw your guesses in the comments. I haven't seen a neat and tidy place with official playoff rosters, so the ex-Cub factor below is a guess at this point and it's possible I missed a Cub connection.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers

The Dodgers started off hot for 2 months and then coasted the last 4 months and their best pitcher had a 5.21 ERA in September (Billingsley). That leaves Randy Wolf as their ace, walk-happy Clayton Kershaw, and now Vicente Padilla(chuckle) getting Game 3.  The Cardinals finished below .500 in Sept/Oct after a ridiculous August, but have the most feared hitter in the game, some decent protection around him for once and a solid bullpen. This series reminds me too much of the Cubs vs. Dodgers last year, except the Cards are the Dodgers this time. 

unoffical ex-Cub Factor: Cards - 1(Mark DeRosa, Wellemeyer may still make roster, don't think Lohse counts), Dodgers - 1 (Juan Pierre, don't think Garland counts)

Dodgers

My Prediction: Cards in 3.

Rockies vs. Phillies

The Rockies were 72-41 since June and have a much better pitching staff than their Coors Field numbers suggest. Ubaldo Jimenez is as good as they get in my opinion, with Aaron Cook and Jason Hammel to follow. Poor Jason Marquis may not even get the Game 4 start, but that's probably best for the Rockies. Rockies were 2nd in the league in home runs and runs scored to the Phillies, so you'd expect some guys crossing the plate early and often, but you never know in 3-5 games what will happen. The Phillies would be wise to shelf Brad Lidge and hand over late innings to Ryan Madson and maybe Brett Myers. Cliff Lee has been beaten up since his first coupe of starts with the Phillies and Cole Hamels seems to be paying for all the innings he threw in their title run last year. I think the Phils will be tough to knock off as defending champs, but the Rockies will prevail. And when in doubt, bet against the ex-Cub factor.

unoffical ex-Cub Factor: Rockies - 1(Marquis), Phillies - 4 (Paul Bako, Matt Stairs, Miguel Cairo, Scott Eyre)

Colorado

My Prediction: Rockies in 5

Red Sox vs. Angels

When the Angels beat the Red Sox in a playoff series, I'll pick them. Until that happens, I'm going with the Red Sox, plus I like their starters and bullpen more.

unoffical ex-Cub Factor: Red Sox - 1(if Gathright makes postseason roster), Angels - 1 (Gary Matthews Jr.)

Boston

My Prediction: Red Sox in 4

Twins vs. Yankees

I could see the Twins taking Game 1 riding the wave of September and last night, but ultimately I can't get behind a team missing Justin Morneau and Kevin Slowey.  The Yanks have easily been the best team in baseball all year, still have Mariano Rivera closing and I think Burnett, Sabathia and Petitte along with a far superior offense than any other team should carry them through the playoffs.

unoffical ex-Cub Factor: Twins- 2(Brendan Harris, Ron Mahay), Yankees - 3 (Chad Gaudin, Jose Molina, Jerry Hairston Jr....Eric Hinske doesn't count I believe)

Yankees

My Prediction: Yankees in 3

LCS

Cardinals over Rockies in 6, Yankees over Red Sox in 5

Rockies and Yankees

World Series

Yankees over Cardinals in 6

Yankees

Comments

Cards in 4 Phils in 5 RSox in 4 Yanks in 3 Cards in 7 RSox in 6 RSox in 6 Edit: It's also worth noting that the Yankees and Red Sox are facing off not just for this year but for the title of team of the decade. Whoever has the better October can probably rightfully claim that title. If both were to bow out in the first round, I'd give the slight edge to Boston for the titles.

NYY vs. BOS payroll * 2009: $201,449,189 * 2009: $121,745,999 * 2008: $209,081,577 * 2008: $133,390,035 * 2007: $189,639,045 * 2007: $143,026,214 * 2006: $194,663,079 * 2006: $120,099,824 * 2005: $208,306,817 * 2005: $123,505,125 * 2004: $184,193,950 * 2004: $127,298,500 * 2003: $152,749,814 * 2003: $ 99,946,500 * 2002: $125,928,583 * 2002: $108,366,060 * 2001: $112,287,143 * 2001: $110,035,883 * 2000: $107,588,459 * 2000: $ 81,200,000 ...and the Cubs...for the hell of it... * 2009: $134,809,000 * 2008: $118,345,833 * 2007: $ 99,670,332 * 2006: $ 94,424,499 * 2005: $ 87,032,933 * 2004: $ 90,560,000 * 2003: $ 79,868,333 * 2002: $ 75,690,833 * 2001: $ 64,715,833 * 2000: $ 62,100,000

Relevance?

"Edit: It's also worth noting that the Yankees and Red Sox are facing off not just for this year but for the title of team of the decade." just pointing out that 1 team in particular spends to win even though they both spend a lot...at most of the points through the decade we're talking 50/70-ish million bucks...enough to field an entire separate team at league average at some points. crazy stuff... the cubs payroll i threw in for the hell of it...a comparison point that's related to something we're more familiar with.

Well, they do have more pennants than anyone else this decade to show for it. (Red Sox and Cardinals have a chance to tie.) Something to be said for that. Cubs spent a lot of money this decade and couldn't even buy one.

National League Cards vs Dodgers -- Cards in 4 Rockies vs Phillies -- Phillies in 5 Cards vs Phillies -- Cards in 6 American League Red Sox vs Angels -- Red Sox in 4 Twins vs Yankees -- Yankees in 4 Red Sox vs Yankees -- Yankees in 6 World Series Cards vs Yankees -- Yankees in 6 Caveat -- Best-of-five series are a crap shoot.

National League STL v LAD... LAD in 5 COL v PHI... PHI in 4 PHI in 7 American League BOS v LAA... BOS in 4 MIN v NYY... NYY in 4 BOS in 6 World Series PHI v BOS... BOS in 7

good start for me, Phils win Game 1...5-1.

Twins who beat the Angels over Cards who beat the Phillies.

I could be wrong.

6-2 in the 5th...

Recent comments

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  • crunch 4 min 11 sec ago (view)

    at least they gave up a chunk of nothing for him (clayton daniel, no power (not even doubles power), no speed, middle IF/OFr).

    it would probably be better appreciated by fans if the entire offseason wasn't stuff like this.

    it's obvious the front office is trying to work with what they have...which is little to nothing from the ownership.

     

  • cubbies.4ever 16 min 21 sec ago (view)

    Cubs acquire Casey Sadler from LA....another Tommy John Surgery pitcher.  Theo does it again.

     

  • crunch 55 min 53 sec ago (view)

    it gets better...

    "Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports that the Cubs have "considered/discussed" Jacoby Ellsbury."

    sigh.  dude hasn't played in 2 seasons and is 36.5 years old.

     

  • crunch 2 hours 12 min ago (view)

    cubs sign tyler olsen to a minor league contract, 650K if he makes the majors.

    evidently the cubs are sourcing 2020 players out of that trash can houston was banging on.

     

  • crunch 1 day 2 hours ago (view)

    carlos beltran "steps down" from the mets manager job

     

  • Jackstraw 1 day 3 hours ago (view)

    Both piggy-backing off of CubbyBlue.  Or at least I was.

     

  • Hagsag 1 day 9 hours ago (view)

    You have done your homework Phil. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 day 14 hours ago (view)

    Some possible price tags for Kris Bryant (but only if he loses his grievance and has two years of club control left): 

    from... 

     

  • QuietMan 1 day 19 hours ago (view)

    https://twitter.com/Super70sSports/status/12176107...

    Someone's stolen your idea,

     

  • Sonicwind75 1 day 19 hours ago (view)

    His punishment is having to manage the mets. 

     

  • Eric S 1 day 22 hours ago (view)

    Well done! 👏  Astro-isks beats TrashCanGate in my mind.

     

  • Eric S 1 day 23 hours ago (view)

    Wouldn't be shocked if they did punt this season.  Someone is getting moved - it would shock me more if they stay status quo with respect to KB and/or Contreras.  Still can't picture them trading Javy 

     

  • Arizona Phil 2 days 48 min ago (view)

    I would think the starting point in the discussion of a return package for Kris Bryant would be a young MLB (or near MLB-ready) SP who is both more MLB-ready than Brailyn Marquez and with a higher upside than Adbert Alzolay or Alec Mills, meaning Ian Anderson or Kyle Wright (ATL), Zac Gallen (AZ), Spencer Howard (PHI), or Luis Patino (SD), presuming those teams would have interest in acquiring KB in a trade.

     

  • Eric S 2 days 2 hours ago (view)

    Acuna, Albies and maybe one or two of their high end pitching prospects should seal the deal -- and that's if KB wins his grievance case!

     

  • crunch 2 days 4 hours ago (view)

    "Bob Nightengale of USA Today writes that the Braves' trade negotiations for Cubs third baseman Kris Bryant are "expected to be revisited." "

     

  • Charlie 2 days 5 hours ago (view)

    I'm most curious what happens with Beltran as new Mets managerial hire.