Bad Contracts, Milton Bradley and Other Cub Related Links
- Nick Steiner takes a look at Milton Bradley using Pitch F/X data and comes away impressed.
The fact that Bradley has such a bad year - and it wasn't even that bad
- can be placed solely on a huge drop in ISO from his previously
established norms. His plate discipline and contact skills were just as
good as they were in 08 and the year before that, and there is no
evidence that the drop in ISO is anything "real". Despite the
personality problems, teams are apparently lining up to try and steal
Bradley away from Jim Hendry because he is still a very good player.
You'll make no friends around here Mr. Steiner with that sort of reasoned analysis.
- Speaking of Bradley, he makes MLBTR's list of bad contracts along with Soriano and Aaron Miles. All the hype to date has been that the Cubs will have to take on one of those (or something similar) to move Bradley.
- Bruce Miles says the Cubs should pass on Gary Matthews Jr. and responds to my inquiry in the comments that there are indeed clubs interested in Bradley.
- Bruce Levine concurs with Chris DeLuca that a payroll around $140M for 2010 should be expected and save up for another ticket price increase. He also says the Cubs are in talks with "Tampa, Toronto and three or four other clubs with players with big contracts that they would like to move."
- Dave Cameron at Fangraphs is thinking about bad contracts as well and suggests a ratings bonanza would follow a GM summit where each team brought one bad contract and threw them into a pile. Then each team picks one from the pile and has to go home with it in what he has dubbed Bad Contract White Elephant.
- This one isn't so much Cub-centric from Geoff Young, but I thought an interesting look at how K/9 rates have increased over time and then contextualizing them for each era.
So, Lincecum had a much higher strikeout rate (by 1.71) in 2009 than
Gooden did in 1985. But taking context into account, we see that the
entire league had a much higher strikeout rate (by 1.53) in 2009 than
in 1985. In today's environment, Gooden's 8.72 K/9 from 1985 would
translate to 11.15 (i.e., 8.72/5.50*7.03), which looks more impressive
and gives us a more proper appreciation of his accomplishments.
- You can vote for the 2009 This Year in Baseball awards at MLB.com. Carlos Marmol is up for set-up man of the year (I guess), so is Michael Wuertz (whoops). Milton Bradley forgetting how many outs is up in the Oddity category along with Mr. T's 7th Inning Stretch which I don't recall and after watching, I'm not sure what was that odd about it other than another pseudeo-celeb butchering the lyrics. A little surprised not to see Randy Wells in the Rookie category(Casey McGehee is though, another whoops) or Derrek Lee in the hitter category but neither would have won anyway. You'll be shocked to learn Hendry and Lou didn't get nominations either.
- A Q&A with Cubs Minor League Player of the Year Kyler Burke at Inside the Ivy (Subscription required)
Really the biggest thing was confidence; I got
my confidence back and tweaked a few things here and there with my
swing. I worked a lot on my mental approach and just went out, relaxed
and had a good time and stayed consistent throughout the whole year.
For me, I think the mental part was huge. There are guys that can play
with the talent but you have to figure out for yourself how to take
failure and also success. You can’t get too high or too low, and that’s
a big thing. It’s nothing you can really do to get there; it just kind
of has to happen. For me, I got a lot of confidence back this year and
things went smoothly.
Burke also says he tweaked his batting stance a bit at the beginning of the year.
- For all I know, this Cubs minor league blog has been around forever, but it's new to me - Wrigley Bound.
- George Castle had an article earlier this month saying that Geovany Soto is determined to get back in shape and will be teaming up with workout fiend Ryan Dempster to do so...the article and comments also have some good things to say about Koyie Hill. Castle more recently discussed potential Wrigley Field renovations and seems to be in favor of rebuilding the entire grandstand area.
- A blast from the past as Sharapova's Thigh looks at the most undeserving Starting LIneup action figures...four Cubs make the list including the acceptable Jerome Walton, Rick WIlkins and Damon Berryhill. A Luis Salazar action figure though is a head scratcher. Supposedly there's a Marvell Wynne one as well in 1989, but not sure if that's as a Cub or Padre.
- Sam Zell says goodbye.
"I think the team should be owned by somebody who is local, somebody
who is really passionate about baseball," Zell said. "I happen to be
local. I'm not passionate about baseball, so I wish them all the best
of luck. And maybe we'll break the 101-year curse."
- I obviously don't get the print versions of the Chicago newspapers, so apparently the Tribune debuted a new layout recently. One of the reasons is that they've fallen behind the Sun-Times in sports coverage, which is hard for me to fathom. More importantly, Steve Rosenbloom is the grand plan to overtake them?
- This is horrible...cubs.com is having a vote for the best single season by position but only lists the standard set of BA, HR, R, RBI and SB. At the very least you have to include a column for OBP and I sure would have at least liked to have seen OPS or OPS+. They even put Sosa's 1998 up there instead of his 2001 season. I think I'll have to examine that list in a future post with a more discerning eye.
- Cubs convention tickets go on sale on November 4th and the convention will take place January 15-17.
bradsbeard 10 hours 29 min ago (view)
Things won't get easier for him pitching outside of the former AT&T park, though Chase isn't the band box it was before they installed a humidor a couple years ago.
crunch 11 hours 25 min ago (view)
dbacks snag m.bumgarner for 5/85m (17m/yr).
didn't realize he'd be coming that cheaply. the longball stung him last year, but he was healthy and his stuff looked good when it wasn't flying over a fence.
crunch 1 day 13 hours ago (view)
MLB is very much swinging their power over minor league teams around.
tim815 1 day 13 hours ago (view)
Normally, it's because the minor fee they receive is of more value than they think they will be able to acquire later.
JustSayin' 1 day 14 hours ago (view)
My, the negotiations for a new comprehensive agreement between MLB and MiLB are sounding nasty all of a sudden! I'd be interested in other takes on this. It's easy to see the risks on the MiLB side. I wonder though, if MLB isn't playing with fire as far as the antitrust exemption goes? In case Trump isn't president in January, 2021, the MLB owners lose a friend. We've already heard from Sanders and Warren supporting MiLB on this -- which is pretty amazing, considering how many bigger problems this country has -- and one can guess where mayor Pete stands.
bradsbeard 1 day 21 hours ago (view)
I'm also thinking they really didn't anticipate losing two players in the MLB portion of the Rule 5 and wanted to have more flexibility to pick guys, and they maybe figured Carrera had a better shot to go unpicked. It is a little surprising that the talent rich Rays are the ones who grabbed him.
Dolorous Jon Lester 1 day 21 hours ago (view)
It's just strange because they had space. maybe they thought no one would have wanted him?
bradsbeard 2 days 6 hours ago (view)
Best I can think is that maybe he was going to be squeezed out of a starting role next year with 2019 draftees and other lower level pitching pushing up into A ball. Doesn't seem like a great reason, but the pitching in the system is getting more crowded each year.
crunch 2 days 14 hours ago (view)
i truly wonder why f.carrera wasn't more of a priority.
he throws straight up junk, but he's got great control and command over his pitchers. he's young enough that he could find some more velocity, too.
i mean, this is a management team that decided to trade for dan haren and kyle hendricks. they don't have an aversion to slow-tossing starters.
Dolorous Jon Lester 2 days 14 hours ago (view)
Has anyone else noticed James Norwood's picture on the Cubs top 30 prospects page is actually Brandon Kintzler?
Arizona Phil 2 days 17 hours ago (view)
It's always interesting to see how many players each MLB club protects on its AAA affiliate's 38-man reserve list on 11/20.
I'm not saying it absolutely and necessarily proves what a club thinks of its own prospects, but there are 38 slots available on a AAA reserve list, and if you leave 15 slots open, I think that does say something, especially when you don't lose anybody in either the MLB Phase or in the AAA Phase. (I'm looking at you, Seattle Mariners!)
Arizona Phil 2 days 18 hours ago (view)
HAGSAG: Instructs starts next month. The pitching lab operates year round, so guys are always coming & going.
Hagsag 2 days 20 hours ago (view)
Phil, when does the Instructional program begin? Are there pitchers in the pitching lab now?
cubbies.4ever 3 days 7 hours ago (view)
Just to continue my conspiracy theory that Theo has a requirement you have TJS to pitch for the Cubs Trevor Megill had it in 2013. The Cubs must have a support group for pitchers who have had TJS.
Arizona Phil 3 days 8 hours ago (view)
After losing two players off the Iowa reserve list in the Major League Phase and selecting four players in the AAA Phase, the Iowa reserve list has one slot open, so now would be an excellent time to try and outright C. D. Pelham to AAA.
Keep in mind that he can't elect free-agency if he's outrighted, and if he is outrighted, he won't be a minor league free-agent until post-2021.
And if he gets claimed off waivers? No big deal.
Arizona Phil 3 days 9 hours ago (view)
LHSP Faustino Carrera and 2B Carlos Sepulveda were among the first players signed by the Cubs out of Mexico in 2014-15. The Cubs ended up signing more than two dozen more Mexican players over the next three years.