Cubs vs. Reds: Series Thread (Games 49-51)
The Cubs came up a bit short on their comeback attempt yesterday and had to accept a 2-2 split with the Phillies. They move on to greet the Reds to Wrigley for a 3-game set.
The Cubs matched up with the Reds in mid-May for a tough 1-2 series loss. Every game in that series was decided by 2 runs or fewer. The Cubs will run out an exact repeat of their starters in that series, but Tanner Roark will be the only familiar face on the other side. The Reds are well rested, having played only 5 games and having 3 days off since then. See below for the game-by-game matchups.
CHC: RHP Kyle Hendricks (4-4, 3.21 ERA)
CIN: RHP Anthony DeSclafani (2-2, 4.60 ERA)
First pitch 1:20pmCDT
Hendricks got his fourth win despite allowing four runs in his last start against the Nationals. Three of those runs scored on an Anthony Rendon homerun. The start before that, he beat the Reds in eight innings and allowed only one run while striking out seven. A Joey Votto solo homer accounted for the only damage. Hendricks went 3-4 and drove in two in that game as well. Current Reds have faced Hendricks 191 times, with most of those PAs concentrated among Cincinnati vets. The cumulative OPS against him is only .664. Joey Votto has not been impressed by Hendricks's wily ways, having outdone him to the tune of 11 walks, and 9 hits (3 homeruns) in 21 at bats. As ever, Hendricks can probably aim to handle the rest of the lineup and trust his own batters to collectively outproduce Votto. Dietrich and Suarez always have the potential to sneak up on you and go yard, of course.
Anthony DeSclafani's 2019 has been pretty strongly defined by two of the three true values. He's striking out batters at a much higher rate than he usually does (10 per 9 innings), but he's also allowing 2 homeruns per nine innings. His groundball rate is way down in the early going. The pitch tracking system seems to think he's using his sinker less this year, but that doesn't appear to be working out for him. The Dodgers tagged him for 3 homeruns in 4 innings of work on May 17 and he's had a full week to either forget about it or stew over it. Bryant is 5-15 off of him and Javy is 2-5 with a homerun. Rizzo is 4-24.
CHC: RHP Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.06 ERA)
CIN: RHP Tyler Mahle (1-5, 3.51 ERA)
First pitch 1:20pmCDT
Darvish has shown signs of improvement in his last few starts. After issuing no walks and striking out 11 Reds in a May 15 no-decision, he went 6 innings against the Phillies in his last start. Things were going swimmingly until a shaky 6th that saw him walk two, give up a stolen base, and allow a run-scoring single and triple. Mixed in their was a potential double-play that twas not. Current Reds have seen little of him, but Derek Dietrich (possibly the Reds' best position player so far?) is 3-6 with a homerun.
Tyler Mahle earned his first win in his last start against the Dodgers, going 6 shutout innings. Despite the record, he seems to have figured something out this year, cutting his walk rate by more than half compared to the last two years while missing more bats. Kyle Schwarber is 3-7 and Javy is 4-8, each with a homerun, against the 24-year-old righty. Other current Cubs have only five hits against him in 43 at bats and have 0 walks.
CHC: LHP Jose Quintana (4-3, 3.30 ERA)
CIN: RHP Tanner Roark (3-3, 3.51 ERA)
First pitch 1:20pmCDT
Hooray, hooray, no Sunday night game!
Quintana pitched 6 scoreless innings allowing two hits and three walks for a no-decision in the Phillies series. He had a stretch of five middling starts before that but he has generally been the Cubs' most dependable starter. Leaving out his early relief appearance and his first clunker of a start, he's gone at least 5 in every start since and has gone 6 or more innings in 6 out of 8 of those starts. Votto is unsurprisingly the Red to watch out for, 8-17 against Quintana.
Tanner Roark has succeeded this year in large part due to his very low HR-per-fly-ball rate. That shouldn't be sustainable, as he's not getting ground balls or weak contact, nor is he suppressing walks. Maybe the Cubs can turn his stats around a bit. He allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings facing the Cubs when the teams last matched up. Tyler Chatwood is 1-1 off of him and Kyle Hendricks is 2-2 with a pair of runs-batted-in. Kris Bryant's 7-14 pales in comparison.
Have fun, Cubs fans! May we be spared ESPN for months to come!
Expect wet and weird conditions Saturday and Sunday with high potential for delays, weird defensive plays, and windblown homers. Flash floods and thunderstorms are in the forecast starting Friday night. Radar suggests the worst of it should be in the evenings. If that forecast holds true, the wind will be blowing out toward the lake and could be gusting at times.
Hagsag 40 min 1 sec ago (view)
I agree crunch.
crunch 1 hour 50 min ago (view)
check out this box score from DSL M's/Yanks yesterday
43 runs, 28 hits, 31 walks, 14 errors (only 1 HR)
crunch 3 hours 28 min ago (view)
the "cleveland indians" are now the "cleveland gaurdians"
they totally blew this. the "cleveland spiders" was the right call.
cubbies.4ever 15 hours 9 min ago (view)
Triandos $2.1 MIL is the 2nd highest non 1st rd pick signing bonuses by Cubs, only Dillon Maples 14th rd $2.5 MIL (no pool limits in 2011) is more. Maples $2.5 MIL is a MLB record (and likely always will be) for anyone drafted below the 3rd rd.
cubbies.4ever 15 hours 21 min ago (view)
2nd Rd - James Triandos signs for $2.1 MIL overslot of $823,600. Leaves the Cubs $5,070 left in bonus pool with 19th and 20th rd unsigned
crunch 16 hours ago (view)
cards take 3 of 4.
cubs 47-50 and firmly in 4th place.
cubs take on arizona next. they're on a 4 game winning streak, bringing them to 30 wins on the season.
crunch 16 hours 46 min ago (view)
d.maples hits e.sosa in the skull (helmet) with a 95mph fb. he's up and walking, but he got smacked hard. if this was boxing he would have been down for a few 10-counts.
i can't believe they're letting him stay in the game. boog really can't believe it.
crunch 17 hours 59 min ago (view)
...and righty arenado gives him #20
crunch 18 hours 42 min ago (view)
6 pitches in...alzolay gives up a homer.
19 homers, 16 to lefties (#19 was to a lefty, too).
crunch 19 hours 46 min ago (view)
s.alcantara down, t.megill up
Arizona Phil 20 hours 37 min ago (view)
At the halfway point of the 2021 minor league season, here are the Top 10 post-2021 Rule 5 Draft eligibles and Top 3 players eligible to be post-2021 Rule 9 minor league 6YFA who are most-likely to be added to Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster):
RULE 9 MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENTS:
Arizona Phil 23 hours 5 min ago (view)
Although the MLB Trade Deadline means players on MLB Reseve Lists (and MLB 60-day IL) and players who were outrighted off MLB reserve lists after signing a 2021 contract can't be traded after 4 PM (Eastern) on 7/30, players can be claimed off Outright Assignment Waivers through the balance of the MLB season.
Arizona Phil 1 day 1 hour ago (view)
DJL: They are not Signed for Future Service.
crunch 1 day 20 hours ago (view)
bryant's hamstring is taking wednesday off
cubbies.4ever 1 day 21 hours ago (view)
15th Rd - BJ Murray signs for $125,000, 17th rd Christian Olivio $75,000. Neither affecting Cubs money pool. Cubs still have positive $794,460 not including the alotted money for 2nd rd James Triados. Other than the 2 that said no right away, only 2nd - Triados (HS), 16th Leigh (NCAA), both expected to sign, and 19rd Avitia (HS) and 20th Cunningham (HS) both have given no indicition either way are unsigned
Sonicwind75 1 day 22 hours ago (view)
Fangraphs updated their team prospect lists with 2021 draftees. Jordan Wicks listed 8th with 45 future value. Triantos (15th), new acquired Bryce Ball (19th) and Christian Franklin (22nd) all received 40+ future value grades.
Updated their top 100 also and Brennen Davis moves up to 17th overall.