Cubs vs. Padres: Series Thread (Games 97-99)

The Cubs (52-44) take on the Padres (46-50) in a three-game set of matinees at Wrigley. The Padres are a thoroughly mediocre team, but they've played streaky ball since early June and have jumped up and surprised both the Dodgers and the Brewers during that time with three wins against each. The streaks have run both ways, as they've also gone through four losing streaks of at least three games during that period. This will be the first time the Cubs face them in 2019. Since last year, they've added Manny Machado. He's been good for them so far, albeit with a slightly lower than usual batting average for him. But rookie Fernando Tatis Jr. has been the offensive star, offering power, speed, and (thanks to a .430 BABIP) a high average. Hunter Renfroe also seems to be enjoying 2019--he just recently passed his previous single season high in homeruns and now sits at 27. Kirby Yates is enjoying a banner year out of the bullpen, leading the pitching staff in fWAR, striking out 14.36 per 9 innings and generally going untouched by the 2019 homerun boom. See below for game-by-game matchups.


Game 97, Friday, July 19, 1:20pmCDT
CHC: LHP Jon Lester (9-6, 3.74 ERA)
SD: LHP Eric Lauer (5-7, 4.04 ERA)

Lester earned his ninth win against Pittsburgh with a 6.2 innings and three earned runs allowed. Eric Hosmer is 6-19 with a homer off of him. Wil Myers is 2-16 with eight strikeouts.

Eric Lauer went 6-7 with a 4.34 ERA in his 2018 rookie season. This year he's improved most of his peripherals a touch, lowering walks and homeruns and boosting his groundball rate, but sacrificing some strikeouts along the way. Most recently, he pitched six innings and allowed two runs, one earned, in a no-decision against the Dodgers. The Cubs went 5-10 off of him in an abbreviated start on July 15 of last year.


Game 98, Saturday, July 20, 1:20pmCDT
CHC: LHP José Quintana (7-7, 4.21 ERA)
SD: LHP Joey Lucchesi (7-4, 3.92 ERA)

Quintana has won three games in a row, allowing six earned runs in 19 innings. He's allowed zero homeruns during that stretch. Ian Kinsler is 15-48 with two homeruns off of him. Hosmer is 13-71 with 14 strikeouts. Machado is 3-15.

Joey Lucchesi is the second sophomore starter working against the Cubs in this series. He went 8-9 last year with a 4.08 ERA, striking out more than a batter per inning along the way. This year the strikeouts are down to 8.55 per nine innings, but he's also giving up slightly fewer homeruns. He got a no-decision in last start against Atlanta, pitching five innings and allowing two earned runs. He pitched 5.2 innings at Wrigley last August and current Cubs went 7-21 in that start. Javy went 2-3 with a homerun.


Game 99, Sunday, July 21, 1:20pmCDT
CHC: RHP Kyle Hendricks (7-7, 3.46 ERA)
SD: RHP Cal Quantrill (2-2, 4.21 ERA)

Hendricks last went six innings and allowed two earned runs against the Reds, looking recovered from the shoulder issues that sent him to the IL briefly. Current Padres ar 15-57 off of him with 13 strikeouts.

Cal Quantrill has made 8 starts and appeared out of the bullpen four times in this, his rookie season. He features a mid-90s fastball and a plus changeup. He got a no-decision in his last start, going six innings and allowing no runs to Atlanta. He had been pitching out of the bullpen for the last few weeks of June but returned to the rotation in July. No current Cubs have faced him.

Comments

Edwards back from the IL. Can’t wait to see him blow a lead this weekend!

Rizzo busting out of his home run slump with gusto: grand slam!

contreras participated in "baseball activities" today...no idea what that was, but that's a good start to a IL comeback.

meanwhile, brandon morrow is on some beach sipping drinks or something.  i wonder if he's even going to pitch again for the cubs.  back in april/may he was supposed to only miss the first half of the season and supposedly he was ready to face live batters a few weeks ago after throwing some side sessions.  now...i dunno...

Morrow update today from Theo here:

https://www.bleachernation.com/2019/07/19/cubs-injury-updates-hamels-in-early-august-contreras-off-his-feet-for-another-day-morrows-timetable/

Sounds more and more likely that both Zobrist and Morrow have played their last and final games as Cubs

ugg.

i can live without zobrist, especially since the team got their $$ back from it...but morrow would be a damn nice fresh pen addition down the stretch.

He’s sipping drinks on a beach?

Could he be Mai Tai Guy???

ha.

he's a low level jerk, but i find it hard to hate the guy when he doesn't try ducking an interview to explain wtf his problem is.

Of course, the Cubs knew he was delicate when they signed him, but Maddon pushed him anyway. How much value is there to an elite player who can’t be used very much?

jon lester not fielding for himself is still stupid.

...and why the hell is tyler chatwood the only guy up in the pen in a game with a man on 2nd (after a 40ft base hit + throwing error) and 0 outs while down by 1?

Given the game conditions of an extra hot afternoon and Lester’s high stress innings, I was surprised he went out to start the 6th inning. 

some close calls, but he struggled his way out of it.  the 1 run lead remains.

he didn't look good, but he got his 6 innings in.

107 heat index. Pat described Lester after striking out Machado for final out in the 6th as a bulldog- sounds about right. 

evidently bryant is a gold glove LF'r

also, we've been seeing a bit of bryant in LF recently.

Bryant’s always been pretty good in LF. It’s RF where he looks most awkward to me. Something about staying on the left side of the field maybe. I think you’ll see Bryant and Schwarber platooned in LF going forward, though that might depend on Bote’s ability to start hitting LHP again. 

Bote’s numbers trending down unfortunately - not far from Russell‘s

1 pitch, tie game.

great job strop.

Strop has become very adroit at blowing leads giving up the long ball (same thing last Friday coming off the all star break?)

Too many of our relief arms have excelled at blowing late leads. Strop and Edwards have been the primary ones.

Should the Cubs go on to win this game ... wow.  Some crazy-stupid self inflicted damage that they’ve somehow skirted. 

SD defense is the player of the game.

Cubs win and this Kimbrel pickup paying dividends

STL down by 7...so they score 10 in the 6th...and barely manage to win a 12-11 game.

m.leake (SEA) perfect through 7ip, 67 pitches

base hit to lead off top 9th...aww.

killer performance and there should be enough in the tank to easily get the CG (only 79 pitches).

Mike Leake? Check that guy's locker for a genie lamp.

Another lefty Padre starter and JHey gets a breather.  Robel in LF (batting 5th) Almora CF (leadoff) and Bryant in RF

Almora is an ideal leadoff hitter ... said no one ever. 

I checked.  You are correct.  No one.  Ever.

currently a big fan of hispanic italians...

currently a big fan of hispanic puerto ricans...

joe sure likes putting kimbrel to work.

delay over, game on.

edwards gonna edwards...blah

The bitter side of me thinks it should have been a two for one trade for Maldonado 

Anyways, has not been a clean series for the Cubs against the Padres - fortunate to have won the series and a 7-2 home stand is a pretty big dill. Or deal. Or something

there's always nick castellanos for a chance to rid of edwards...at which point a couple month rental will probably turn edwards into their ace closer or something just as awesome.

I feel pretty safe in saying that 1. They don’t want him and 2. If they did, things wouldn’t improve for CJ.

Allowing inherited runners and 1-2 of your own in a close game is what I like to call the “Carl Jr Special.” It was formerly a Justin Grimm special, thankfully Carl stepped up to fill that void.

Edwards is frustrating at times. Some of that frustration comes from thinking he could be much better than he currently is. But prior to this year (in which he has pitched very few innings), he's overall been an OK relief pitcher in the majors. I'm happy to wait and see on him for quite a while. Still has an option and is cheap, right?

I think this is his last option year. And he’s not as cheap as you’d think, he’s a super two qualified player this year.

Carl Edwards Jr will be out of minor league options next season (2020), and he will (once again) be arbitration-eligible post-2019 (he was "Super Two" arb eligible post-2018) and he will be a FA post-2022. 

Cheap may not be the right word, but has put up reasonable value per dollar compared to other relievers prior to this ear.

He accrued 2.9 bWAR 2017-2018. Strop put up 3.2 bWAR during the same period. Edwards is making $1.5M this year. Strop is making $6.25M. He'll get a bump again this offseason even if he doesn't rebound in the second half, of course. I just don't see a need to trade him unless the Cubs are being offered value in return.

That said, it does make my stomach knot up a bit when I see they are bringing him into a close game.

Not as much as it makes his stomach tighten!

i dont think we should trade him. We would get nothing of value back. But I don’t think he should be a bullpen piece on a playoff contender either. He should be in Iowa. Reassess where he’s at for September and next year. If they don’t like what they see, non-tender.

cubs lose, cards win, brews win.

boo.

I feel like I've already waited & seen enough of CEJ...

Yeah.....yeah. I think I'm good too. Put him and Strop in the Shawn Greene deal.

Edwards optioned to Iowa per Jesse Rogers,

Recent comments

Subscribe to Recent comments
The first 600 characters of the last 16 comments, click "View" to see rest of comment.
  • bradsbeard 1 hour 51 min ago (view)

    Since the deal isn't official, I wonder if the Cubs will wait until camp opens to finalize the deal and then put him on the 60 day IL as soon as it's available (assuming it's a major league deal). That doesn't really make sense in light of their luxury tax maneuvering though. If he's gonna miss a third of the season they'd probably only offer a minor league deal I guess. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 hours 54 min ago (view)

    Cory Abbott, Ben Hecht, Ryan Lawlor, and Brailyn Marquez were in a separate group on Field #3, so they may be prepping for NRIs to MLB Spring Training.   

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 hours 55 min ago (view)

    And Max Bain threw (long toss) at Instructs this morning, too. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 hours 55 min ago (view)

    I can positively confirm that Jerrick Suiter (1B-OF selected by Cubs from Pirates in Minor League Phase of last month';s Rule 5 Draft) is indeed being converted to a RHP. I saw him throw long-toss this morning at Instructs. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 hours 55 min ago (view)

    The Cubs have purchased the contract of LHP Adam Choplick from Southern Maryland (Atlantic League) and he has been assigned to AA Tennessee.

    Choplick was the 14th round draft pick of the Texas Rangers out of the U. of Oklahoma in 2015, and he was released by the Rangers at the end of Spring Training 2019 (never got higher than AA). 

    I saw Choplick throw (long-toss) at Instructs this morning and he is one huge dude (6'9 250+). 

     

  • crunch 6 hours 1 min ago (view)

    the entire cubs offseason has been "wow, this guy was good 2-3 years ago, but didn't play or sucked in recent past."

    houston finished using their trash can and the cubs are rooting around in it looking for players.

    speaking of...it's taken MLB longer to figure out bryant's service time complaint than the entire astros cheating scandal.

     

  • crunch 7 hours 38 min ago (view)

    "Chicago Cubs selected the contract of LHP Adam Choplick from Southern Maryland Blue Crabs."

    okay.  sure.  congrats and good luck.

    https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player...

     

  • Charlie 10 hours 22 min ago (view)

    Good for Nick. Good luck to him and the Reds improving his defense. That park should very much play to his offense.

    Interest in Gennett is strange. If you are going to pick up a bench infielder at this point, shouldn't it be someone with SS chops?

     

  • crunch 11 hours 24 min ago (view)

    nick castellanos to the reds, 4/64m...opt out after 1 year.

    meanwhile, on the cubs front...

    "Bruce Levine of 670 The Score reports that the Cubs continue to have interest in free agent Scooter Gennett. "

    wtf...

     

  • Sonicwind75 15 hours 45 min ago (view)

    There seemed to be a least an tacit understanding between ownership and fans during the rebuild that we as fans should support the organization when it was intentionally underspending and tanking. When it was time to be competitive, you know when the greatest core of Cubs players in my lifetime are in their prime, ownership would make the most of that window. That doesn't appear to be the case with the team shedding around $40 million in salary. 

     

  • crunch 1 day 1 hour ago (view)

    in all honesty, the team is spending a healthy amount that i only jokingly complain about...but...it was not just fans talking about the extra perks the new revenue streams and tv contract would open.  it was ownership and front office at points in the past bringing it up.

     

  • George Altman 1 day 3 hours ago (view)

    What's pretty obvious is that the Cubs 2020 salary budget is $208m AAV.  Whatever Theo/Jed can field with that number (existing players, trades, and/or signings). They could generate $100m from Marquee, concerts, Wrigleyville, etc and it's NOT going to translate into more $$$ for players.  Very sad, frustrating, and maddening. 

     

  • crunch 1 day 7 hours ago (view)

    maybe if the cubs can squeeze a 5th in-season concert at wrigley they can sign addison russell.

     

  • Charlie 1 day 7 hours ago (view)

    Morosi reporting that the Reds are favorites for Castellanos. Seems like a good direction for them if they can deal with his defense in LF. They look to have the best sarting rotation in the division (or close to it) as things stand. If they can squeeze more offense out of the OF and skate by with their bullpen, they could hang reasonably close to the Cards-Brewers-Cubs pack. I'll be curious to see how much money they throw at him if they do sign him. Being younger has to get him more money than Ozuna, right?

     

  • Charlie 1 day 10 hours ago (view)

    Sure would be nice to rehab a player and then have them stick around and help out the team. Fingers crossed for Souza.

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 day 13 hours ago (view)

    BRADSBEARD: Unfortunately the video doesn't show how his knee looked the day after the workout, whether he can run and take BP two days in a row, if he needs to take pain meds before or after he does physical activity, and/or if he has to have his knee drained every couple of weeks.