Cubs @ Giants: Darvish vs. Bumgarner (Game 101)

CHC (54-46): RHP Yu Darvish (3-4, 4.46 ERA)
SF (51-50): LHP Madison Bumgarner (5-7, 3.65 ERA)
First pitch 8:45pmCDT

Yu Darvish was great in his last start against Cincinnati. He pitched six scoreless innings with two hits, zero walks, and seven strikeouts. It was his second scoreless outing in a row, with the first being a similar performance against the Pirates. Current Giants have seen little of Darvish. Evan Longoria (3-18) is on the IL with a foot injury. Steven Vogt is 7-26, all singles, with no walks. Sandoval, Posey, Pillar, and Crawford are collectively 0-10 with five strikeouts.

Madison Bumgarner is trying to put together his first full season since 2016 and just matched last year's total for starts at 21. He's been good, but he has not matched his usual mark for ERA currently sitting more than half a run above his career average. His strikeouts and walks have been fine, but his groundball percentage is down a little bit. He's coming off a one-run complete game against the Mets and he has allowed five earned runs in 29 innings going back to June 25. Current Cubs are 15-87 against him with a .490 OPS and 32 strikeouts. So, that's promising and totally justifies staying up for a West coast night game.

The rumor mill is just starting to churn and so far the Cubs have primarily been linked to a few position players, including Jarrod Dyson, Erik Sogard, and Nicholas Castellanos. There was a David Kaplan tweet suggesting interest in reliever Shane Greene as well. I'll be surprised if there are any big moves, but I'm sure we would all welcome the distraction of speculating.

Comments

contreras expected to be activated Wednesday.

also, this is one hell of a slow trade market with the deadline 8 days away.

a.mills down, tiny tim collins up

schwarber / baez / bryant / rizzo / almora (again) / heyward / garcia / caratini / darvish

Almora to be making outs from the 5 spot for only the second time this season.

[sent sound: confused mumble]

Almora currently batting .205 vs. lefties on the season. Could be a fluke. He's hit .285 against them in his career with an exactly league average wRC+, and that's including this year's numbers.

either way, for about a week and half he's getting playing time like he's hitting .300/.350/.500

he went from a part-time player getting a decent amount of playing time to a regular.

when baez is "on" he's easily one of the most exciting players the cubs have ever had (small-ish sample size and all).

it's nice he's "on" more than cold, too.

Brad Brach continuing to earn his 6.05 ERA.  Glad Joe got through as many RPs as he did before turning to Brach.

Cubs 4-8 with RISP, Giants 1-7.  Cubs should generally win those.

Russell sent down to allow for Contreras return.

Descalso continues to dodge roster bullets like Neo.

Not that he wasn’t already super important anyway but Javy is now the only true shortstop on the active roster

ERIC S: This won't help if a back-up is needed during a game, but SS Zack Short (at AAA Iowa) is (in my opinion) one of the Cubs Top 10 position-player prospects. He's a legit shortstop (I would comp his ceiling to Nick Ahmed of the D'backs).   

As Old and Blue would say: call him up!

Addison Russell has roster bonuses based on days spent on the MLB active roster ($100K each for 30, 60, 90, and 120 days, and $200K for 150 days), and so far he has spent 77 days on the 25, so there is no way he can reach the $200K 150 day bar, and reaching the $100K 120 day goal is now in jeopardy as well.

If he remains on Optional Assignment until rosters expand on 9/1, Russell will accrue 116 days MLB ST in 2019 (meaning he would receive a total of $300K of the potential $600K in roster bonuses). Russell's 2019 base salary ($3.4M) has already been reduced by $640K (because he spent the first 35 days of the 2019 MLB regular season on the Restricted List while completing his DV suspension), so he needed the full $600K in potential roster bonuses (at least 150 days on the MLB active roster) just to come within $40K of his $3.4M base salary, and now it looks like it's very possible that he won't get more than $300K in roster bonuses (effectively reducing his 2019 salary to about $2.8M).  

How about a match made in hell?

Addison Russell (who was suspended for violating the MLB-MLBPA JDV policy) to PIT for RHRP Keone Kela (who was suspended by the Pirates after allegedly punching-out a club Mental Skills coach last week).

It would be almost an exact salary wash, with the main difference being that Kela is under club control through 2020 and Russell is under club control through 2021. 

k.kela is a "milton bradley" sized attitude problem.  even when he's not being physically violent, he's been a horrible teammate for multiple clubs.

LHRP Xavier Cedeno's Article XIX-C Rehab Assignment at AAA Iowa has been halted (reset) again, and he will be transferred to 60-day IL when/if Cubs need 40-man roster slot (Cedeno has already spent 60 days on the 10-day IL so transferring him to the 60 would be a no-brainer).   

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  • jdrnym 5 hours 37 min ago (view)

    All makes sense, but I think there is one important point of clarification in there -- are you using "practice squad" and "Club Player Pool" interchangeably? If so, I understood the first sentence of your third-to-last paragraph above to mean that Mills/Sadler/Underwood could be outrighted and still be in the Pool, therefore retaining their eligibility to re-selected to the major league active roster later in the season.

     

  • Arizona Phil 8 hours 3 min ago (view)

    jdrnym: Zack Short is still on Optional Assignment to the minors (as are Alzolay, M. Amaya, R. Garcia, Maples, T. Miller, Norwood, Rea, M. Rodriguez, and Steele), but he can be recalled at any time without restriction (no "ten-day rule") because he was optioned to the minors prior to the transaction freeze in March. 

     

  • crunch 12 hours 26 min ago (view)

    the toles update is worse than his troubled past.  toles has been diagnosed bipolar + schizophrenia and has been in/out of institutions over the past couple years.  he can't seem to stick to any program long enough to get good treatment.

    hope he turns whatever corner he needs to in order to get enough treatment to decide what kind of future he'd like to have.

     

  • Dolorous Jon Lester 15 hours 16 min ago (view)

    Those two are definitely on more precarious ground once the roster is trimmed to 26, I would say.

     

  • jdrnym 15 hours 18 min ago (view)

    Right, just went through the roster quick. Underwood, Sadler, same deal.

     

  • Dolorous Jon Lester 17 hours 35 min ago (view)

    Can't answer the Short thing. But I'd agree with your assessment of Mills if he weren't basically a lock to make the roster.

     

  • jdrnym 17 hours 42 min ago (view)

    Is Zack Short's official designation still "on optional assignment" even though he's not on the Pool? If so, he can't just be recalled even though he's on the 40-man roster, right?

    And someone like Alec Mills who's on the Pool and out of options... he's virtually locked onto the active roster because he can't get taken off (via an outright) and remain eligible to be re-added. Seems like the kind of player you'd prefer to leave off the initial Pool.

     

  • crunch 18 hours 7 min ago (view)

    though he went to the hospital for treatment he was never admitted, so he's yet another person who got dragged hard by Covid, but who's case isn't showing up in the hospital admission, ICU bed, or death numbers most of us are looking at.

    there's a whole slew of people who have had to shut down their lives for 2-4-6-etc weeks to get over this that are falling outside of the numbers we're tracking most closely.

     

  • Cubster 18 hours 36 min ago (view)

    "In yet another reminder of how insidious this particular disease can be, Hottovy says he had acted quite cautiously in public before coming down with it. Fortunately, he was able to self-isolate and avoid transmitting it to his family."

     

  • crunch 19 hours 47 min ago (view)

    it'll be interesting to see how things go down when people have to start playing games in AZ.  they're damn close to being "early NYC level" screwed with a lack of planning and action.

    with the early plan of playing games in AZ/FL, they could have been huge economic winners with 15+ teams playing all their games in AZ (and spring training 2.0).  now it's looking like some teams may not even want to fly into AZ for a few dozen "away" games.

     

  • crunch 20 hours 2 min ago (view)

    cubs pitching coach tommy hottovy was diagnosed with covid-19 earlier this spring, but he is currently assumed fully recovered.

    he had a 100+ degree temperature for 6 days, lost 18 pounds, and it took 30 days for him to test negative.

    he's 38 years old, btw.

     

  • Hagsag 1 day 3 hours ago (view)

    Bravo Crunch!

     

  • crunch 1 day 18 hours ago (view)

    at least the cubs got elston back for pretty much nothing.  also, ha.

     

  • Rob Richardson 2 days 35 min ago (view)

    How many coachs, managers, and other "tier 1" individuals around the league are in higher risk groups? 

     

  • Rob Richardson 2 days 43 min ago (view)

    Well said Crunch.

     

  • Cubster 2 days 1 hour ago (view)

    1956 Cub Hoax...

    Hit .215, 5 HR. Age 28 season

    https://www.ebay.com/i/153938295586?chn=ps