Cubs @ Reds: Series Thread (Games 115-118)

The Cubs extended their division lead a bit by taking two out of three from the A's. They'll get four whacks at the Reds this weekend, who remain a surprisingly not terrible team. Read more for match-ups.


Game 115, Thursday, August 8, 6:10pmCDT
CHC: LHP Cole Hamels (6-3, 2.84 ERA)
CIN: LHP Alex Wood (1-0, 3.18 ERA)

Hamels pitched 5 scoreless against Milwaukee on August 3 but got a no-decision in his return from the I.L. His only work against Cincinnati this season was the 1-inning affair that sent him to the I.L. on June 28. Votto is 6-24 off of him.

Alex Wood has made two starts this season, allowing four earned runs across 11.1 innings. Bryant is 3-8 with a homer off of him and Heyward is 4-10.


Game 116, Friday, August 9, 6:10pmCDT
CHC: RHP Yu Darvish (4-5, 4.36 ERA)
CIN: RHP Trevor Bauer (9-8, 3.85 ERA)

Yu Darvish has been much improved lately. He's issued two walks since July 3, and struck out 44 in that time. The one mark against him is that even during that stretch he hasn't been able to avoid damage from homeruns, allowing five long balls in those six starts. Derek Dietrich is 4-10 with two homeruns off of him.

Trevor Bauer was traded to the Reds shortly after his in-game long-toss incident. His first start since the trade resulted in a no-decisions, as he pitched 4.2 and allowed two earned runs. Albert Almora has 3 singles against him in 6 at bats. Castellanos is 14-50 with four doubles and one homerun. Bauer has struck him out 10 times.


Game 117, Saturday, August 10, 6:10pmCDT
CHC: RHP Kyle Hendricks (8-8, 3.06 ERA)
CIN: RHP Sonny Gray (6-6, 3.25 ERA)

Hendricks allowed two earned runs over 6.1 innings in his last start and last allowed more than two earned runs on June 14. Votto is 10-26 with three homeruns off of him.

Gray pitched around four walks in his last start to hold Atlanta scoreless in seven innings. He last allowed more than two earned runs on June 21. Castellanos is 3-6 with a double and a triple off of him. Zobrist is 4-7. (How close is he to a potential return?)


Game 118, Sunday, August 11, 12:10pmCDT
CHC: LHP Jon Lester (9-8, 4.39 ERA)
CIN: RHP Luis Castillo (11-4, 2.63 ERA)

Lester has been bad lately. Let's go back to his last good start. He pitched seven scoreless innings against the Brewers on July 27. Reds hitters have put up a .829 OPS against him over 160 at bats. Suarez has his number and is 12-37 with 4 homeruns.

Luis Castillo has been good lately. He's struck out 20 batters over his last 14 innings and allowed only one walk. Let's go back to his last bad start. He allowed six earned runs in five innings to the Rockies on July 26. Ian Happ is 4-7 off of him and Kyle Schwarber is 5-14 with three homeruns.

Comments

STL loses their 5th in a row as MIL slides back into 2nd place, 3 games back of the cubs.

cubs picked a good time to start playing good baseball.  it's been a nice week and half.

bring on the reds.

No coincidence that Cubs got on that roll at home.

Please Cubs, at least play .500 on the road going forward. Given how they play at home, .500 on the road likely wins the Central

davis back to iowa...lucroy joins today.

lucroy is quite stiff behind the plate this season.  hopefully everyone throwing to him can keep it near his glove.  not really hyped up about this addition, though it's probably better all-around than davis.

Yeah, at least Caratini can get a day off here or there now 

Can anybody tell me why, besides the strikeouts, Happ couldn't be the Cubs 2B for a long time? He's a switch hitter with power. Maybe I don't understand analytics, or maybe he's a crappy fielder, but wasn't he moved off 2B because of Javy? But now that Javy is the everyday SS, couldn't Happ play everyday at 2B? If everyone else has been inconsistent, why not let the guy who turns 25 next week, and who already has 41 career homers and a career 110 OBS+ play?

Nico Hoerner.

*nods head vigorously* Understood

Happ was drafted as an OF and played only OF his first year as a pro, but he had played all over including 2B in college and really wanted a shot to play there, so he worked on it at instructs the winter after he was drafted and then spent most of his time there until he was called up to the majors. I think just about everybody thought he wouldn’t be able to stick as a 2B, though I’ve never thought he was terrible there. He mostly doesn’t look like an infielder due to the way he moves and his throws aren’t great. But I’d guess he can be passable there as long as he’s hitting. I do think he looked really good in CF the first few games back, and that seemed to be his focus in Iowa, so ideally he‘d be the starting CF next season but we’ll see how the OF shakes out over the winter. 

Nico been shagging some flies lately too...

heyward (RF) / cast (LF) / bryant / rizzo / baez / almora / happ (2nd) / lucroy / ham

the 3rd inning has been awesome and total crap.  i doubt ham is gonna pitch a 4th inning and he may not make it out of the 3rd.

who's ready for a few innings of chatwood?  meh.

Ask and you shall receive!

Chatwood‘s stuff plays well against that Reds righty lineup. 

i wonder what the reds would give the cubs for happ.

he straight up owns this park.

Ben Zobrist went 1-for-4 today at Myrtle Beach as the DH with a HR, a walk, 2 runs scored, 1 RBI, and 1 K.

Chatwood has become a valuable piece.

he's turned things around a bit since stinking it up through june.  hopefully he can keep doing what he's been doing for the past 5 weeks.

this game is sucks...also, fireworks dude needs new job.

This team is sooooooo bad on the road

Well, doesn‘t look like Maddon will have to worry about who to pick to try to close this game out in the ninth.  Not an issue when there is no bottom of the ninth

Be brave, don’t cry.

2.2 innings of hendricks.  that was not fun.

STAWWWWWWWP

Somehow, Almora has managed to have a poorer night than Hendricks - unpossible. 

Also: Dear Joe - Please stop batting Almora at leadoff. I don’t care if the opposing pitcher is an actual batting tee - don’t do it.

joe loves running to the "let the cold guy bat leadoff" well a bit too much, and gets a bit stuborn about leaving a guy there, too.

it's past having a cold start in april/may...the trade deadline is past...there's a real 3-way battle for 1st.

That's the cold guy with the career .314 OBP but he's worse this year with a .280 OBP who doesn't take pitches. 

If Joe is somehow under the absurd notion that Almora is a table-setter, let him do it from the 9 spot. 

.235 ob% out of the leadoff spot after tonight (64 PA, 14th start leading off)

...make that a .231 ob% after getting another AB in the 9th.  also, he dropped a -very- loud Fbomb after K'ing.

Well, if you're going to go all fancy stats that neither me or Joe have access to.........................

I saw the movie Moneyball three times, once with director's commentary, and I've seen the book cover on TV at least 3 or 4 times.  I'm kinda an expert in advanced analytical thingies.

so...anyone got any of that good starting pitching to spare?

*shakes mostly empty cup*

bryant!  1st HR in CIN in 3 seasons.

cubs lead!

I hope he isn’t bringing Wick in too early. I would have used Holland for VanMeter through Votto, then gone to Wick. I really am worried Joe is going to go back to the Pedro Strop pain experience after Votto.

i thought it was "bold" to bring in maples vs votto yesterday with 2 on.  it worked (after going 3-1 on him, though).  that was interesting.

Pretty interesting to see Underwood up in the pen in these late game pressure situations too.

Sigh, now Strop up for 9th. At least it’s 7 8 9 due up. I’d still have Holland ready for VanMeter through Votto.

For a manager with the rep of being willing to try whatever and not be rigid about anything, he is sure determined to shove Strop into every possible situation to blow late leads. Fingers crossed 2018 Pedro shows up.

2018 strop appearance wish granted.

cubs win.  woo.

MIL+STL both losing, but still close enough to not get too hyped yet.

It’s mid-August but that seemed like a pretty big comeback win. Probably haven’t felt that good coming off a road series since May. Good to see KB have his finger prints all over that W too - super clutch, late inning, three run bomb. 

I definitely thinking losing this series would've felt like a big step back.

MIL loss.  neat.

STL was down by 4 in the 7th, but 5 runs coming in...including a grand slam...gives them a 1 run lead.  thanks PIT.  way to step up.

I figure the Buccos will stop playing wretched ball whenever they face the Cubs

On the other hand, that had to be a bitter pill to swallow by the Brewers today losing 1-0 to the Rangers

no cubs, no cards, no brews...a true late season off-day

I-Cub magic # = 12...11...10...AA looked sharp today...9

Recent comments

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  • cubbies.4ever 10 hours 27 min ago (view)

    Why no Dakota Meekes?  Somebody is gonna take him.

     

  • Cubster 10 hours 58 min ago (view)

    Per S Sharma: "Cubs have added C Miguel Amaya, RHP Tyson Miller, RHP Manuel Rodriguez and INF Zack Short to the 40-man roster, which now stands at 36."

    ...Manny Rodriguez must be a bit of a surprise.

     

  • erich081 17 hours 45 min ago (view)

    Interesting, thanks AZ Phil.

     

  • Arizona Phil 18 hours 30 min ago (view)

    First.Pitch.120: Without citing the source, I can say that other than Miguel Amaya, no Cub eligible for selection in the 2019 Rule 5 Draft is more-likely to be selected (if left unprotected) than P. J. Higgins, and if Higgins is selected, the Cubs will almost certainly not get him back. 

     

  • First.Pitch.120 21 hours 23 min ago (view)

    AZ PHIL:  can you tell us a bit more about the "likely" ranking for PJ Higgins? I haven't had a chance to see him IRL. His stat sheet looks ok but not necessarily above some others. Is it a case of the "useful AAA catcher who can also do other things while not destroying you with the bat"?

     

  • JustSayin' 4 days 19 hours ago (view)

     I hear you but welcome to the world of Theo.  The team is always a step or two away from the World Series in his mind, whether that is true or not.  Therefore, the thing to do on the margin is to trade top prospects or younger guys on the roster for that missing puzzle piece, not build for the future.  I had a front-row seat for this as a Red Sox fan.  If Pedro Martinez doesn't insist the Red Sox sign David Ortiz for table scraps and Chris Bryant isn't the no-brainer second pick in the draft, we'd all be wondering what happened to that Theo guy who was in the Red S

     

  • Cubster 4 days 20 hours ago (view)

    Shogo Akiyama is a lefty bat, career BA at.301 w/ Seibu Lions.  Recent OBPs: .419, .385, .398, .403 and .392. HR 20-15 in last 3 seasons Stolen bases, 12 in 2019, 18 in best season (2016). Defense supposedly plus-plus, 7-10 assists (10 in 2016). Clearly a leadoff hitter.

     

  • crunch 5 days 12 hours ago (view)

    christian yelich committed internet homicide on yu darvish...

    https://twitter.com/ChristianYelich/status/1195462...

     

  • Charlie 5 days 16 hours ago (view)

    Little in the offseason could make me happier than the Cubs finding ways to retain the good MLB players who came up with them while remaining competitive. This Javy extension talk makes me much happier as a fan than the Bryant and Contreras trade talk.

     

  • crunch 5 days 17 hours ago (view)

    "Javy Baez. The two-time All-Star shortstop and 2018 MVP runner-up already has begun negotiations on a potential long-term extension with the Cubs, according to sources."

    also, some talk of being linked to shogo akiyama (CF, Japan, 32yo in April)

    https://chicago.suntimes.com/cubs/2019/11/15/20966...

     

  • crunch 6 days 13 hours ago (view)

    j.odorizzi accepted his qualifying offer (17.8m) from MIN...so did j.abreu (CWS)....everyone else is gonna play the FA market.

    w.smith (SF) immediately signed with the braves for 3/39 (13m team option/1m buyout on the backend).  braves lose a 2nd round pick...which they'll probably get back when someone signs j.donaldson.

     

  • crunch 1 week 13 hours ago (view)

    nice.

    it's not like i think he's something special, but if he had 5mph more on his stuff he'd probably be a top prospect in the system combined with his command/control.  he's got highly repeatable junk and he's still young enough there might be a little more velocity to discover.

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 week 16 hours ago (view)

    CRUNCH: As long as Carrera is placed on the AAA Iowa reserve list on 11/20 he should be safe from selection, and I would say he is in fact close to a lock to be placed on the Iowa roster.

    Presuming he is on the Iowa reserve list going into the Rule 5 Draft, I doubt very much that he would get selected in the Major League Phase because he hasn't pitched above Lo-A. 

     

  • crunch 1 week 17 hours ago (view)

    nice info...

    i'm low-key keeping an eye on faustino carrera if he's not protected...which he may not be protected.

    he throws junk, but he throws it well, and with great control.

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 week 17 hours ago (view)

    I've talked to Player Development people over the past many years about the Rule 5 Draft and how an organization goes about deciding whether to protect or not protect a player from selection. 

    STEP 1: How many of your Rule 5 Draft-eligible players are actually legit candidates to get selected in the Major League Phase?. Usually there a dozen or more who could conceivably/realisticaly get selected. You need to identify them and then carefully evaluate them. 
    EXAMPLES: See my lists above. 

     

  • crunch 1 week 20 hours ago (view)

    "There are no untouchables," Epstein said.

    In truth, the Cubs boss has said the same every year, but it certainly sounds like he means it this time. "We're in the 'information collecting' stages of the process," one general manager put it on Tuesday.

    https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28066390/there...