Cubs @ Reds: Series Thread (Games 115-118)

The Cubs extended their division lead a bit by taking two out of three from the A's. They'll get four whacks at the Reds this weekend, who remain a surprisingly not terrible team. Read more for match-ups.


Game 115, Thursday, August 8, 6:10pmCDT
CHC: LHP Cole Hamels (6-3, 2.84 ERA)
CIN: LHP Alex Wood (1-0, 3.18 ERA)

Hamels pitched 5 scoreless against Milwaukee on August 3 but got a no-decision in his return from the I.L. His only work against Cincinnati this season was the 1-inning affair that sent him to the I.L. on June 28. Votto is 6-24 off of him.

Alex Wood has made two starts this season, allowing four earned runs across 11.1 innings. Bryant is 3-8 with a homer off of him and Heyward is 4-10.


Game 116, Friday, August 9, 6:10pmCDT
CHC: RHP Yu Darvish (4-5, 4.36 ERA)
CIN: RHP Trevor Bauer (9-8, 3.85 ERA)

Yu Darvish has been much improved lately. He's issued two walks since July 3, and struck out 44 in that time. The one mark against him is that even during that stretch he hasn't been able to avoid damage from homeruns, allowing five long balls in those six starts. Derek Dietrich is 4-10 with two homeruns off of him.

Trevor Bauer was traded to the Reds shortly after his in-game long-toss incident. His first start since the trade resulted in a no-decisions, as he pitched 4.2 and allowed two earned runs. Albert Almora has 3 singles against him in 6 at bats. Castellanos is 14-50 with four doubles and one homerun. Bauer has struck him out 10 times.


Game 117, Saturday, August 10, 6:10pmCDT
CHC: RHP Kyle Hendricks (8-8, 3.06 ERA)
CIN: RHP Sonny Gray (6-6, 3.25 ERA)

Hendricks allowed two earned runs over 6.1 innings in his last start and last allowed more than two earned runs on June 14. Votto is 10-26 with three homeruns off of him.

Gray pitched around four walks in his last start to hold Atlanta scoreless in seven innings. He last allowed more than two earned runs on June 21. Castellanos is 3-6 with a double and a triple off of him. Zobrist is 4-7. (How close is he to a potential return?)


Game 118, Sunday, August 11, 12:10pmCDT
CHC: LHP Jon Lester (9-8, 4.39 ERA)
CIN: RHP Luis Castillo (11-4, 2.63 ERA)

Lester has been bad lately. Let's go back to his last good start. He pitched seven scoreless innings against the Brewers on July 27. Reds hitters have put up a .829 OPS against him over 160 at bats. Suarez has his number and is 12-37 with 4 homeruns.

Luis Castillo has been good lately. He's struck out 20 batters over his last 14 innings and allowed only one walk. Let's go back to his last bad start. He allowed six earned runs in five innings to the Rockies on July 26. Ian Happ is 4-7 off of him and Kyle Schwarber is 5-14 with three homeruns.

Comments

STL loses their 5th in a row as MIL slides back into 2nd place, 3 games back of the cubs.

cubs picked a good time to start playing good baseball.  it's been a nice week and half.

bring on the reds.

No coincidence that Cubs got on that roll at home.

Please Cubs, at least play .500 on the road going forward. Given how they play at home, .500 on the road likely wins the Central

davis back to iowa...lucroy joins today.

lucroy is quite stiff behind the plate this season.  hopefully everyone throwing to him can keep it near his glove.  not really hyped up about this addition, though it's probably better all-around than davis.

Yeah, at least Caratini can get a day off here or there now 

Can anybody tell me why, besides the strikeouts, Happ couldn't be the Cubs 2B for a long time? He's a switch hitter with power. Maybe I don't understand analytics, or maybe he's a crappy fielder, but wasn't he moved off 2B because of Javy? But now that Javy is the everyday SS, couldn't Happ play everyday at 2B? If everyone else has been inconsistent, why not let the guy who turns 25 next week, and who already has 41 career homers and a career 110 OBS+ play?

Nico Hoerner.

*nods head vigorously* Understood

Happ was drafted as an OF and played only OF his first year as a pro, but he had played all over including 2B in college and really wanted a shot to play there, so he worked on it at instructs the winter after he was drafted and then spent most of his time there until he was called up to the majors. I think just about everybody thought he wouldn’t be able to stick as a 2B, though I’ve never thought he was terrible there. He mostly doesn’t look like an infielder due to the way he moves and his throws aren’t great. But I’d guess he can be passable there as long as he’s hitting. I do think he looked really good in CF the first few games back, and that seemed to be his focus in Iowa, so ideally he‘d be the starting CF next season but we’ll see how the OF shakes out over the winter. 

Nico been shagging some flies lately too...

heyward (RF) / cast (LF) / bryant / rizzo / baez / almora / happ (2nd) / lucroy / ham

the 3rd inning has been awesome and total crap.  i doubt ham is gonna pitch a 4th inning and he may not make it out of the 3rd.

who's ready for a few innings of chatwood?  meh.

Ask and you shall receive!

Chatwood‘s stuff plays well against that Reds righty lineup. 

i wonder what the reds would give the cubs for happ.

he straight up owns this park.

Ben Zobrist went 1-for-4 today at Myrtle Beach as the DH with a HR, a walk, 2 runs scored, 1 RBI, and 1 K.

Chatwood has become a valuable piece.

he's turned things around a bit since stinking it up through june.  hopefully he can keep doing what he's been doing for the past 5 weeks.

this game is sucks...also, fireworks dude needs new job.

This team is sooooooo bad on the road

Well, doesn‘t look like Maddon will have to worry about who to pick to try to close this game out in the ninth.  Not an issue when there is no bottom of the ninth

Be brave, don’t cry.

2.2 innings of hendricks.  that was not fun.

STAWWWWWWWP

Somehow, Almora has managed to have a poorer night than Hendricks - unpossible. 

Also: Dear Joe - Please stop batting Almora at leadoff. I don’t care if the opposing pitcher is an actual batting tee - don’t do it.

joe loves running to the "let the cold guy bat leadoff" well a bit too much, and gets a bit stuborn about leaving a guy there, too.

it's past having a cold start in april/may...the trade deadline is past...there's a real 3-way battle for 1st.

That's the cold guy with the career .314 OBP but he's worse this year with a .280 OBP who doesn't take pitches. 

If Joe is somehow under the absurd notion that Almora is a table-setter, let him do it from the 9 spot. 

.235 ob% out of the leadoff spot after tonight (64 PA, 14th start leading off)

...make that a .231 ob% after getting another AB in the 9th.  also, he dropped a -very- loud Fbomb after K'ing.

Well, if you're going to go all fancy stats that neither me or Joe have access to.........................

I saw the movie Moneyball three times, once with director's commentary, and I've seen the book cover on TV at least 3 or 4 times.  I'm kinda an expert in advanced analytical thingies.

so...anyone got any of that good starting pitching to spare?

*shakes mostly empty cup*

bryant!  1st HR in CIN in 3 seasons.

cubs lead!

I hope he isn’t bringing Wick in too early. I would have used Holland for VanMeter through Votto, then gone to Wick. I really am worried Joe is going to go back to the Pedro Strop pain experience after Votto.

i thought it was "bold" to bring in maples vs votto yesterday with 2 on.  it worked (after going 3-1 on him, though).  that was interesting.

Pretty interesting to see Underwood up in the pen in these late game pressure situations too.

Sigh, now Strop up for 9th. At least it’s 7 8 9 due up. I’d still have Holland ready for VanMeter through Votto.

For a manager with the rep of being willing to try whatever and not be rigid about anything, he is sure determined to shove Strop into every possible situation to blow late leads. Fingers crossed 2018 Pedro shows up.

2018 strop appearance wish granted.

cubs win.  woo.

MIL+STL both losing, but still close enough to not get too hyped yet.

It’s mid-August but that seemed like a pretty big comeback win. Probably haven’t felt that good coming off a road series since May. Good to see KB have his finger prints all over that W too - super clutch, late inning, three run bomb. 

I definitely thinking losing this series would've felt like a big step back.

MIL loss.  neat.

STL was down by 4 in the 7th, but 5 runs coming in...including a grand slam...gives them a 1 run lead.  thanks PIT.  way to step up.

I figure the Buccos will stop playing wretched ball whenever they face the Cubs

On the other hand, that had to be a bitter pill to swallow by the Brewers today losing 1-0 to the Rangers

no cubs, no cards, no brews...a true late season off-day

I-Cub magic # = 12...11...10...AA looked sharp today...9

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  • jdrnym 2 hours 58 min ago (view)

    All makes sense, but I think there is one important point of clarification in there -- are you using "practice squad" and "Club Player Pool" interchangeably? If so, I understood the first sentence of your third-to-last paragraph above to mean that Mills/Sadler/Underwood could be outrighted and still be in the Pool, therefore retaining their eligibility to re-selected to the major league active roster later in the season.

     

  • Arizona Phil 5 hours 24 min ago (view)

    jdrnym: Zack Short is still on Optional Assignment to the minors (as are Alzolay, M. Amaya, R. Garcia, Maples, T. Miller, Norwood, Rea, M. Rodriguez, and Steele), but he can be recalled at any time without restriction (no "ten-day rule") because he was optioned to the minors prior to the transaction freeze in March. 

     

  • crunch 9 hours 46 min ago (view)

    the toles update is worse than his troubled past.  toles has been diagnosed bipolar + schizophrenia and has been in/out of institutions over the past couple years.  he can't seem to stick to any program long enough to get good treatment.

    hope he turns whatever corner he needs to in order to get enough treatment to decide what kind of future he'd like to have.

     

  • Dolorous Jon Lester 12 hours 37 min ago (view)

    Those two are definitely on more precarious ground once the roster is trimmed to 26, I would say.

     

  • jdrnym 12 hours 39 min ago (view)

    Right, just went through the roster quick. Underwood, Sadler, same deal.

     

  • Dolorous Jon Lester 14 hours 56 min ago (view)

    Can't answer the Short thing. But I'd agree with your assessment of Mills if he weren't basically a lock to make the roster.

     

  • jdrnym 15 hours 3 min ago (view)

    Is Zack Short's official designation still "on optional assignment" even though he's not on the Pool? If so, he can't just be recalled even though he's on the 40-man roster, right?

    And someone like Alec Mills who's on the Pool and out of options... he's virtually locked onto the active roster because he can't get taken off (via an outright) and remain eligible to be re-added. Seems like the kind of player you'd prefer to leave off the initial Pool.

     

  • crunch 15 hours 27 min ago (view)

    though he went to the hospital for treatment he was never admitted, so he's yet another person who got dragged hard by Covid, but who's case isn't showing up in the hospital admission, ICU bed, or death numbers most of us are looking at.

    there's a whole slew of people who have had to shut down their lives for 2-4-6-etc weeks to get over this that are falling outside of the numbers we're tracking most closely.

     

  • Cubster 15 hours 57 min ago (view)

    "In yet another reminder of how insidious this particular disease can be, Hottovy says he had acted quite cautiously in public before coming down with it. Fortunately, he was able to self-isolate and avoid transmitting it to his family."

     

  • crunch 17 hours 8 min ago (view)

    it'll be interesting to see how things go down when people have to start playing games in AZ.  they're damn close to being "early NYC level" screwed with a lack of planning and action.

    with the early plan of playing games in AZ/FL, they could have been huge economic winners with 15+ teams playing all their games in AZ (and spring training 2.0).  now it's looking like some teams may not even want to fly into AZ for a few dozen "away" games.

     

  • crunch 17 hours 23 min ago (view)

    cubs pitching coach tommy hottovy was diagnosed with covid-19 earlier this spring, but he is currently assumed fully recovered.

    he had a 100+ degree temperature for 6 days, lost 18 pounds, and it took 30 days for him to test negative.

    he's 38 years old, btw.

     

  • Hagsag 1 day 22 min ago (view)

    Bravo Crunch!

     

  • crunch 1 day 16 hours ago (view)

    at least the cubs got elston back for pretty much nothing.  also, ha.

     

  • Rob Richardson 1 day 21 hours ago (view)

    How many coachs, managers, and other "tier 1" individuals around the league are in higher risk groups? 

     

  • Rob Richardson 1 day 22 hours ago (view)

    Well said Crunch.

     

  • Cubster 1 day 22 hours ago (view)

    1956 Cub Hoax...

    Hit .215, 5 HR. Age 28 season

    https://www.ebay.com/i/153938295586?chn=ps