Cubs @ Pirates: Series Thread (Games 122-124)

The Cubs may want to flee the state after that performance in Philadelphia, but they only make it as far as the western side of Pennsylvania. There, they find the last place Pirates waiting for them. The Pirates ended an 8-game skid by taking the first two in their last series, against the Angels. The Pittsburgh club is firmly in the role of spoiler following that 8-game losing streak and a 9-game losing streak that lead them into the trade deadline. The Cubs head into the series in a tie with the Cardinals and only 1 game ahead of the Brewers. See below for the matchups.


Game 122, Friday, August 16, 6:05pmCDT
CHC: RHP Kyle Hendricks (8-9, 3.48 ERA)
PIT: RHP Joe Musgrove (8-11, 4.71 ERA)

Hendricks only went 2.2 in Cincinnati for his last start and allowed seven earned runs, including three homeruns. It was easily his worst start of the season so far. He faced the Pirates on July 2 and surrendered two earned runs in three innings of work. Adam Frazier is 4-8 off of him with a homerun. Gregory Polanco and his 10-28 and two homeruns off Hendricks are on the IL.

Musgrove lost to the Cardinals last time out (thanks). He allowed three earned runs on six hits and three walks in 5.1 innings pitched. He's 0-1 in two starts against the Cubs this season having allowed four runs, two earned, on only five hits and two walks in 9.1 innings. Current Cubs are 17-97 off of him with a single homerun and 9 walks. If you're following along that = terrible.


Game 123: Saturday, August 17, 12:35pmCDT
CHC: LHP Jon Lester (9-8, 4.43 ERA)
PIT: LHP Steven Brault (3-1, 4.33 ERA)

Lester allowed three earned runs in five innings in Cincinnati last weekend. He's 1-0 in two Wrigley starts against the Pirates this season, allowing three runs, one earned, in 9.1 innings pitched. Josh Bell is 6-22 with one homerun off of him.

Brault swung back into the rotation at the end of May and has been decent there since, although he finds himself exiting the game around the fifth inning in about half his outings. Last time out he went 4.2 and allowed four earned runs in a no decision to the Cardinals. He pitched three innings in relief against the Cubs on April eighth and allowed four earned runs. The Cubs have hammered him for a .990 OPS in 105 at bats. Bryant is 7-12 with a homerun, three walks, and zero strikeouts off of him. Javy is 5-9 with a homerun, three walks, and zero strikeouts.


Game 124: Sunday, August 18, 6:10pmCDT
CHC: LHP José Quintana (10-7, 4.11 ERA)
PIT: RHP Mitch Keller (1-1, 7.94 ERA)

Quintana set a career high with 14 strikeouts in his last start and has been great in his last two. He's allowed two earned runs on seven hits and one walk vs. 21 strikeouts in his last 13 innings pitched. He's won all three of his starts against the Pirates this season, allowing three earned runs and collecting 21 strikeouts in 20 innings pitched against them. The three Pirates who have had some success against him--Cervelli, Osuna, and Polanco--are all unavailable at the beginning of this series. My superstitious side thinks there are too many ducks lined up here and that Cubbery must be imminent.

Perhaps that cubbery comes in the form of a rookie pitcher the Cubs have never faced. Mitch Keller is 1-1 in his first four MLB starts. He hasn't been especially efficient, striking out more than a batter per inning but also allowing 4.24 walks per nine and posting a low groundball rate. His fastball has averaged 95.7 MPH, and he'll mix a slider, a curve, and the occasional changeup. No Cubs have faced him.

Comments

Russell called up from Iowa ... and Almora (ALMORA!) demoted to Iowa

Tea leaves say Javy is still not feeling great and JHey felling better - also Happ can fill in at CF too

Kintzler also activated and whats-his-name Iowa reliever called up yesterday sent back down today

almora down...now who will lead off?

i guess it's kemp time!  yeah!  hahah...haha...ha...umm...yeah.

Don’t worry, Descalso is on a rehab assignment, the lead off man we all need!

time to start printing those world series game tickets

heyward(CF) / cast / bryant / rizzo / BAEZ / schwarb / lucroy / we're doing that stupid pitcher hitting 8th thing again / kemp(2nd)

One metric that seems useful to me in evaluating any move a manager makes is what is the response of the opposing manager.

I don't believe any opposing manager says "aw fuck now we gotta face Hendricks/Darvish/Quintana in the 8 hole, how are we going to counter that?"

I have a hard time imagining Clint getting flustered over Tony Kemp coming up in the 8-spot either.

I think you need actual alchemy to arrange 2019 Lucroy, Tony Kemp, and a pitcher into an imposing 7-8-9.

it's a pety complaint on my part, but giving the pitcher slot an extra 20-50 PA a year while handicapping (more prone to being pitched around) a stronger hitter usually put in the 7 slot doesn't do anything for me.

just playing with how the numbers have worked out in practice, last i checked it was a minor disadvantage to bat the pitcher 8th...but most likely statistically insignificant...aka, it's not going to get anyone fired or manager of the year doing it.

So Jed Hoyer spoke with media today and said Russell-for-Almora swap had been in the works ... a day late and a dollar short

woo!

finally...FINALLY...the cubs bats wake up in the 8th.

tony "MVP HOF" kemp.

Best number nine hitter in the NL!

Ball sure knows how to find Bote with one out in the ninth

i am well over 9th inning drama.

even stuff that seems like it's not a big deal feels like a big deal.

Kyle Ryan and Brandon Kintzler handling a 1-run lead in a 9th inning following a sweep to the Phillies. This is not the bullpen the front office has been trying to assemble. The closer, the setup man/backup closer (Strop), the future closer (Edwards), and the replacement closer (Kimbrel) have all fallen through in one way or another. If they can make the playoffs, I suppose we expect Kimbrel and Cishek as reinforcements? It's still going to be rough with Strop underperforming.

Brandon Morrow says hello too re the front office’s best laid plans

hey neat.  man on 2nd...IBB, bb, bb...good job.

tie game.  awesome.

And he’s left in to continue pitching.

Joe has to go.

Started to feel like I was watching Kyle Farnsworth and just knowing that he didn't have a way of getting the batter out.

For those looking to identify the particular nightmare I was reliving: https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/sports/2004...

obligatory farnsworth flashback video...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WZbG5MPsfYM

some nice bonus "pissed off sarge" gary matthews in there, too...and dusty baker handling shit.  say what one wants about his lineup construction, dusty put up with some insane baseball attitudes with players he managed.  i still can't believe a clubhouse with jeff kent and barry bonds didn't result in attempted murder at the very least.

I don’t think Kintzler threw a single pitch where a Pirate swung and missed. All swings led to foul balls or that walk off hit. It was obvious he had nothing. The guy hadn’t pitched in over a week, so I can’t really blame him.

Lulz

If Bote makes that play ...

There are too many guys on this team that need to go to Iowa and not enough guys in Iowa to replace them.

WELL THAT SUCKED

The thing is, this Cub team has so many flaws you really can’t take the inevitable  meltdowns too harshly. The Cubs are a slightly above average team - that’s all 

this has been a particularly rough set of losses...ow.

I think they are better than slightly above average in every area but the bullpen. Fangraphs WAR numbers suggest they are top 4 offense in the NL, top 5 rotation in NL, and bottom 5 bullpen in the NL. But that still suggests they should be right where they are, struggling to stay in the back of the pack of contenders for the postseason. So, that's probably close to what you are saying, but we could maybe attribute it mostly to one flaw--the bullpen.

Not a hill I’m going to die on for sure, but compare the 2019 defense vs 2016, I believe Cubs are bottom half on defense.  Also, last info I saw on the topic, Cubs lead the majors in outs recorded on the basepaths.  At six games over .500, Four teams in the NL have better records than the Cubs, who are now tied with the Phillies and just a game ahead of the Brewers. I think it was Bill Parcells who said you are what your record says you are - have to agree here too. 

Cubs at home = Roadrunner

Cubs on road = Wile E. Coyote

I wonder if Joe will talk about how he feels re: next years contract to media today?

heyward(CF) / cast / bryant / rizzo / baez / russell / happ(LF) / lucroy / lester

lester and lucroy...

I knew this was going to be a tough series with the Pirates starting Cy Young last night and Walter Johnson today.  Only weird thing is Cy was sporting a 4.59 ERA going into last night and Johnson came into today with a 4.15.

Cubs have to scratch mightily to get two runs against the mighty second half buccos

walking the pitcher to load the bases with 0 outs.

this cubbery is thicker than the humidity.

no one scores!  hell yeah.  phew.

2 on, 0 out, and also gets out of that.

btw, bryant has forgotten how to play 3rd base the past 2 innings...da hell...

bryant has not forgotten how to hit homers.

sweeeeeeeet.

...and we're doing more 0 out, men on base stuff...

2 on, 0 outs...up to 103 pitches and lester's day is done.

bullpen time.  oh. boy.  neat.

chatwood in.

K, diving catch by happ for an out, HBP to load the bases, ground out

phew.

PIT has loaded the bases 3 times in this game.

Lester pitched 35 innings today.

at least...

cubs win!  about time.

With our vaunted late inning tandem of Tyler Chatwood and Rowan Wick!

Who would have thought?

2019...cubs fan...being thankful heyward and chatwood are around...wtf...

I’m a little surprised and confused that Bote wasn’t in the infield in the ninth? Wth - need that one out boot to complete my day

You could hit your thumb with a hammer.  Or take a big bite of wayyyy too hot pizza.  Just sayin.

Cubs 1-10 with RISP in the series.  Left lots of ducks on the pond.  Could take some of the pressure off the pen.

Like having a 5-1 lead going into the ninth?

Craig Kimbrel reinstated from IL, Duane Underwood Jr optioned to Iowa, Mark Zagunis recalled as the "26th man" for tonight's game (special travel required to get to Williamsport so MLB Comissioner permits 26th man for both clubs). 

so stoked for the williamsport game.

the increasing amount of off-site games is a bit concerning (middle of nowhere Field of Dreams field, really?), but I love this one.  it's played out great so far and giving the kids playing in the LL series some primo seats (hope this continues) is a great touch.

Hey, I'm pretty excited about the Field of Dreams game.  I grew up on a farm in middle of nowhere Iowa and my brother and I spent a lot of time trying to hit baseballs into a corn field.  I'm seriously considering coming back next summer from Texas to go to that game if prices aren't super stupid expensive.  Added bonus, I won't have to listen to A-Rod and Mendoza ignorantly discussing corn and no, you don't eat field corn like you would sweet corn. 

never really considered how that might be cool for people used to seeing those midwest fields as an everyday occurance.  in the south-east US you rarely see the vastly massive acerage of farm-against-farm-against-farm-etc...

also, i spent a good amount of time out in corn fields in ames, iowa in my last job.  everyone wanted to go work the research fields in hawaii, but we always ended up in iowa.

I did 3/4 of a PhD in Ames, IA... no need to apologize. That's time that can jade anybody. The best parts of my years there were 1) Cubs on local AM radio (pre cell network streaming) so I could listen to them on a run, and 2) being able to go see the I-cubs whenever I wanted. Was at a game there on July 4, 2007 & I saw a guy sitting 1 section over, a couple rows up and I thought "that looks like Barack Obama". Turns out it was the whole Obama family... Gotta love IA in a pre-caucus year. 

heyward / cast / bryant / rizzo / baez / schwarb / caratini / kemp(2nd) / Q

woo, a good cubs away game.

one takeaway from this game...a slew of cubs players were fans of Hey Arnold! when they were kids.

welcome back kimbrel.

1st pitch goes about 10 miles outside the park by marte.

strop comes in to get the last out, but it has to be some kinda slow-walk back in a game that wasn't a save situation.

homer, hbp, k, k...looks healthy.

...and strop gives up a hit then walks the bases loaded.

...and he closes it out with a K.  neat.

this is the 1st cubs road series win since May 17-19 @WAS.

That is truly staggering. Shame on the rest of the Central that we are only one loss behind the pissboys, we should have been buried by now with that kind of stat.

paul dejong (STL) took out the M in  the "BIG MAC LAND" sign @STL with a big HR...lights went out on the letter and everything.  epic-ish.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ECYHA12XoAAyp45?format...

And the Brewers are being no hit by Hudson thru 6.

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  • crunch 5 hours 12 min ago (view)

    There's a lot I hate about this playoff format and I hope we get back to 3-in with 2 teams playing a brutal 1-game playoff format.

    i don't want to watch 162...or 150...games to see 16 out of 30 teams get a shot at winning it all.

    we just watched the cubs drop 3 out of 4 to a team that was 15-38.  dropping a playoff series to a team that had the 5th best record and survived a 1-game sudden death playoff has a bit more legitamacy than a team that didn't even have a .500 record (MIL + HOU this year, btw).

     

  • Charlie 6 hours 52 min ago (view)

    Yay for playoff games taking place in the middle of a workday? I'll be watching this one well after the fact. Enjoy, to all those watching it live on Wednesday afternoon!

     

  • champsummers 8 hours 51 min ago (view)

    Gracias!

    And I did not know he was eligible already.  Makes sense..

     

  • crunch 15 hours 26 min ago (view)

    ex-cub and fun baseball dude Jay Johnstone has died.  74 years old (dementia, COVID).

     

  • Dolorous Jon Lester 1 day 18 hours ago (view)

    I understand why it feels unsettling. I remember the series well (though I, unlike Theo, actually was in high school). Anyway, I view it as a chance to right previous wrongs in the same way we stomped StL out of the playoffs in 2015, or the way the Nationals got to burn through two teams last year that had dumped them out of October in previous seasons.

    But if we lose, of course that was 17 years ago so it's two extremely different organizations.

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 day 22 hours ago (view)

    DJL: All players on Optional Assignment to the minors must be recalled on the day after the conclusion of the MLB regular season, even if the player has not spent at least ten days on Optional Assignment. Players cannot be optioned to the minors again until Spring Training. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 day 23 hours ago (view)

    CHAMP: No option year is spent just by calling up a player to MLB. An option year is spent only if a player on an MLB 40-man roster is optioned to the minors for at least 20 days in a given season. 

    Also, Brailyn Marquez is (was) eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft in December, so the Cubs were going to add him to the 40 on 11/20 anyway. They just did it a couple of months early.  

     

  • bradsbeard 2 days 2 hours ago (view)

    Not sure if serious, but Theo became the Red Sox GM in 2002. It's true though, there probably aren't many people in the organization besides Ricketts and Crane Kenney who have any strong feelings about that series. 

     

  • Craig A. 2 days 3 hours ago (view)

    I wonder if anyone on the Cubs cares or even remembers the odd events when the Marlins played the Cubs in 2003. I think Theo was in high school. To this old fart it will be more than a little unsettling to watch this post-season match-up. At least we can be fairly certain there will no fans grabbing for foul balls. 

     

  • bradsbeard 2 days 6 hours ago (view)

    Which is kind of annoying. Nobody really picked the Cubs to win this division pre-season. I guess Mattingly gets some credit for guiding the Marlins through their positives but even just letting them play that one game with half the team sick should knock him out of consideration. Meanwhile Ross kept a tight ship and the Cubs has no positives all year. I'd say Ross or Tingler should get it over Mattingly. 

     

  • crunch 2 days 8 hours ago (view)

    cubs finish 34-26 (1st, division)...they play MIA on wednesday.

    good start for d.ross, but the manager of the year is most likely going to d.mattingley (MIA) or j.tingler(SD).

     

  • crunch 2 days 8 hours ago (view)

    ...or he won't make it out of the 8th

    0.2ip 2h 3bb 1k, 5r/er...2 wild pitches

    there's some great stuff in that arm.  mid/high-80s slider, "changeup" around 90mph, fastball 97-99mph...all effortless.  21 years old and never pitched above A-ball.

     

  • crunch 2 days 8 hours ago (view)

    -deleted-

     

  • crunch 2 days 8 hours ago (view)

    rough debut...doubt we're going to see him in the 9th.

     

  • Charlie 2 days 8 hours ago (view)

    Reminds me a little of Jeff Samardzija's debut. Adrenaline throwing straight gas but all over the place. Samardzija threw a fastball all the way to the backstop in his debut (2008).

     

  • crunch 2 days 8 hours ago (view)

    back to back 3-2 count 6-pitch walks.

    he's not in the zone.  he's throwing almost totally fastballs, too.