Cubs @ Diamondbacks: Series Thread (Games 91-93)

Just before kicking off the post-All Star portion of the season, the Cubs traded their starting left fielder for an advanced A-ball first base prospect. Pederson had not proven himself integral to what middling success the Cubs had managed so far this season, and the team could conceivably improve without him. However, the Cubs were rumored to be sellers going into the All-Star break and this move lends further support. They'll continue on, for now, with remaining core players like Javy, Rizzo, Bryant, and Contreras--but we'll be watching these games knowing any of those players could be making their last appearances in Cubs blue.

The current Cubs will be taking up bat and glove against D-Backs club with the worst record in the majors. Arizona enters the series second to last in the majors wRC+ and dead last in pitching WAR with a shocking 1.0 in fWAR--a team 5.48 ERA in the DH-less league will do that. Still, things won't necessarily be easygoing for the Cubs. See below for my best guess at pitching matchups. [Edit: my guesses were wrong.]


Game 91, Friday, July 16, 8:40 pm central

CHC: RHP Kyle Hendricks (11-4, 3.77 ERA)

ARZ: LHP Madison Bumgarner (4-5, 5.73 ERA)

Despite the Cubs' struggles of late, Hendricks continues to defend an undefeated streak going back to mid May. He earned a win against the Cardinals before the break, allowing two earned runs in 6.1 innings pitched.

Bumgarner has made three starts in a row in which he's allowed at least five earned runs, exiting his last start after only two innings pitched. He's a got a seven-inning no hitter under his belt, but things have not gone smoothly for the veteran lefty.


Gamey 92, Saturday, July 17, 3:10 pm central

CHC: RHP Adbert Alzolay (4-9, 4.66 ERA)

ARZ: TBD - RHP Zac Gallen (1-4, 4.17 ERA)

Alzolay's numbers were inflated slightly in June and early July, but he hasn't had many severe ups or downs this season. The area of greatest consistency for him has been homers--giving up a couple of them every game or two, that is. Like many other pitchers, his success hinges on keeping his misses out of the zone.

The D-Backs have not announced a starter for this game. Taylor Widener started for the D-Backs on July 9th but was optioned the next day. [Zac Gallen last started on July 2. He went two innings and allowed three earned runs. It was the weakest of his nine starts this season. This will be his first career start against the Cubs.]


Game 93, Sunday, July 18, 3:10 pm central

CHC: RHP Zach Davies (5-6, 4.37 ERA)

ARZ: TBD - [RHP Caleb Smith (2-6, 4.54 ERA)]


Davies took a loss against the Cardinals, exiting after 4.1 and allowing three earned runs. It sure would be nice if he found the feel for his changeup.

[Smith has 27 appearances, nine of them starts, in 2021. He last started on July 10 when he surrendered nine(!) runs in a single inning pitched. He had another rough start in the first week of July when he allowed five earned runs. In 6 June starts he held down a 2.87 ERA, but he had very similar peripherals.]

Comments

arrieta will not return when eligible saturday...not shocking news.

Price it costs to turn a die hard Cardinals fan in Drew Gray into a Cub $900,000.  I don't have that type of money to change my Cardinals fan wife to a Cubs one.

kimbrel with a 0.55 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in 32.2ip with 56 Ks

dude hasn't given up a run since may 23 (runner starting inning on 2nd, extras) and hasn't given up an earned run since may 15.

if the cubs blow this trade...wtf...

Well with those 2 signings that puts them ahead $497,795.

I can't believe they wouldn't sign Daniel Avitia since they signed his older brother who shows like no upside other than defense away from GCU and convince his little bro to sign and pitch to him in the minors rather than at GCU.  So yeah that savings probably goes to Triandos and Avitia

d.maples expected to be back sometime this week

Because Dillon Maples began his Article XIX-C Minor League Rehab Assignment on 6/26, by rule he must be reinstated from the IL no later than 7/26, unless he aggravates his injury or sustains a different injury during the course of the rehab assignment.   

With one exception, the maximum number of days a pitcher can spend on a rehab assignment is 30 days, and it's 20 days for position players. The only exception is if a pitcher or position player is rehabbing after undergoing an elbow UCL transplant (TJS), in which case the rehab assignment can be extended up to an additional 30 days (allocated in increments of ten days).

A player on an MLB IL must consent to a Minor League Rehab Assignment, and he gets to choose the minor league affiliate to which he will be assigned. Also, the player can unilaterally terminate the rehab assignment at any time, in which case he must be reinstated from the IL, as long as the player is eligible to be reinstated.   

And RHRP Rowan Wick (on MLB 60-day IL with an oblique strain) has been sent on an Article XIX-C Minor League Rehab Assignment at South Bend.

Wick is eligible to be reinstated from the 60-day IL, so he can decide when it's over and force the Cubs to reinstate him from the IL. However, nothing can prevent the Cubs from optioning him to the minors after he is reinstated, so (if he is smart) he should remain on the rehab assignment (and accrue MLB Service Time and get paid at the MLB rate) as long as possible and leave it up to the Cubs to decide when it's over. (Wick is on the bubble to be a Super Two for salary arbitration post-2021, so he will want to accrue as much MLB Service Time as possible over the last 2-1/2 months of the MLB regular season).  

park is like 99.9% cubs fans today.

it always gets a good cubs fan showing in ARZ, but today is off the hook slanted toward the cubs.

boog/sutcliffe is a lot smoother than jd/boog/sutcliffe.

it's not really that weird cuz boog/sut have done a ton of ESPN games together, but it's not like jd is tripping up anyone.  if anything, boog seems like the rusty cog when the trio is announcing.

dbacks pitching is the suuuuuuuuuuuuuucks.

Nice - and only - ninth inning rally for the Cubs. And Kimbrel locks it down - also nice. 

if kimbrel doesn't bring 2022 hope in his eventual trade...at least "sometime in 2022" if not opening day battle...

hell, it better be REALLY good, if not.

cubs pick up 29 year old 1st baseman frank schwindel off waivers from the A's.

rizzo in the lineup and batting leadoff today.

Leadoff Rizzo is my jam. Just leave him unless and until he's traded.

2 men in scoring position with 1 out...bringing in a.morgan...out of everyone in the pen.

alright then.

HAHAHAH...wtf dbacks....my god.

so yeah, ARZ works a walk to load the bases.

then a grounder to 1st...force out at home...THEN force out at 1st because the runner didn't finish running to 1st.

this ARZ team is terrible.

3-2-1 double play.

kimbrel/ATL rumors getting hot.

Crunch: I only saw that from the fake MLB Trade Rumors twitter account. Have you seen it mentioned anywhere else?

it may have been others parroting it.  i heard nothing in hours following.

Not including the alotted $1,340,220 for Triandos the Cubs have an extra $869,460 extra draft pick money.  Assuming Triandos doesn't eat a lot of that $869,400 they still have a decent amount to go after the remaining handful of prep guys.

14th-rounder Frankie Scalzo signs w/@Cubs for $125k. Grand Canyon RHP, hit 97 mph w/fastball, posted 2.12 ERA in relief this spring. - Jim Callis

18th-rounder Dominic Hambley gets $200,000. 6-ft-2 HS RHP from British Columbia throws hard w/good breaking ball, control will need to improve. - Jonathan Mayo

I really enjoyed listening to this podcast with VP of Scouting, Dan Kantrovitz (on Ivy Futures Interviews with Greg Z): https://www.buzzsprout.com/1630441/8882966

If you're curious about the Cubs strategy coming into this year's draft, give it a listen. Really insightful and transparent!

he's one of the few high end talents that stuck around rather than jumping ship (mostly for promotions elsewhere), retiring, or straight up getting fired.

recent-ish hire, but still remained through the past 1.5 seasons of weird.

17th-round #MLBDraft pick, SS Christian Olivo, has signed with the #Cubs. - Savermetrics

15th-round #MLBDraft pick, 3B BJ Murray, has signed with the #Cubs. - Savermetrics

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  • crunch 8 hours 32 min ago (view)

    * except for playing 1st base

     

  • crunch 2 days 4 hours ago (view)

    a lot of people were all-in on it being a 2022 thing, but given how MLB has held the DH over the player's heads like it's some kind of extremely valuable chip worth more than the players seem to think it's worth...who knows...

     

  • Cubster 2 days 6 hours ago (view)

    any estimates on the chances of the DH in the NL anytime soon?

     

  • crunch 2 days 6 hours ago (view)

    k.schwarber is hella good at post-season baseball.

     

  • Cubster 2 days 7 hours ago (view)

    Carter Hawkins introduced to the press...

    https://youtu.be/X9RV6bAIIfw

     

  • crunch 2 days 8 hours ago (view)

    e.castillo and t.payne off the 40man in 100% totally expected moves.

    both are/were catcher organizational depth.

     

  • crunch 2 days 9 hours ago (view)

    for those keeping track of the heating-up Mets head of baseball operations search, theo has already ruled himself out.

    mets want(ed) some heavy hitters (including b.beane and d.stearns), but none of them are on board...well, MIL took stearns off the board before he could chime in because he has a year left on his contract.

     

  • Arizona Phil 2 days 13 hours ago (view)

    Something to keep in mind about clearing MLB 40-man roster slots for players eligible for selection in this year's Rule 5 Draft is that you can't non-tender players to create 40-man roster space for Rule 5 Draft eligibles. That's because players can only be non-tendered on 12/2, and the pre-Rule 5 Draft roster filing deadline is 11/19 (almost two weeks - PRIOR TO -the contract tender date). NOTE: Normally the roster filing deadline is 11/20, but it's moved up to 11/19 this year because 11/20 falls on a Saturday in 2021

     

  • Arizona Phil 2 days 14 hours ago (view)

    BRADSBEARD: Just one game, some BP, infield practice, and baserunning drills. So not much to glean from that so far. 

     

  • crunch 3 days 5 hours ago (view)

    minor league baseball has to provide housing for minor leaguers starting 2022 (paid for by MLB parent clubs).  this is HUGE news and will make it possible for guys to stick around longer without having to quit the game just to earn a basic living.  for minor league players working in expensive housing markets this is a life saver.

    activist players from the OAK and LAA minor league teams as well as minor league player labor advocacy organizations were a huge part of making this happen.  good work.

     

  • bradsbeard 3 days 9 hours ago (view)

    Did you have any occasion to observe Pedro Ramirez? Not sure if he got into any games or not (now that I think of it, you wrote up at least one game he played in). 

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 14 hours ago (view)

    azbobbop: Certainly LHSPs Drew Gray and Luke Little have emerged as legit significant high-end SP prospects. RHSP Luis Devers has probably displaced Koen Moreno as the top "pitchability" SP prospect in the lower levels of the Cubs system. Tyler Schlaffer (another "pitchability" guy) also had an impressive Instructs, although Devers is a better SP prospect because he has a solid three-pitch mix and knows how to use it, while Schlaffer has just the 92-94 FB & CV (although both are solid offerngs) and isn't as polished as Devers is.

     

  • Hagsag 3 days 20 hours ago (view)

    This is the first time I have heard about the four month program in November. 

     

  • azbobbop 4 days 3 hours ago (view)

    Phil, now that instructional scare finished, which players impressed you the most and who are disappointments.

     

  • tim815 4 days 7 hours ago (view)

    Cool. Should help his trade value if the bat plays.

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 days 9 hours ago (view)

    TIM: Peter Matt looks very comfortable at 3B. He is a classic "four-corner" guy (1B-3B-LF-RF).