Cubs 2022 Rule 5 Draft & Minor League Free-Agency Watch List

9/22 UPDATE

LHP Sean Newcomb was semt outright to AAA Iowa on Monday (9/19).

As an Article XX-D player, Newcomb had the right to elect free-agency immediately and forfeit what remains of his 2022 salary (he had 72 hours to decide) or defer free-agency until the conclusion of the MLB regular season and continue to get paid. He has accepted the outright assignment, choosing to defer free-agency until after the conclusion of the MLB regular season (if not added back to the MLB 40-man roster in the meantime). 

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9/17 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of INF Esteban Quiroz from AAA Iowa and he has been added to the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster). He would have been eligible for selection in the 2022 MLB Rule 5 Draft if he hadn't been added to the 40. 

Like Javier Assad, Jeremiah Estrada, Hayden Wesneski, and Jared Young, Quiroz will have status until twenty days prior to 2023 MLB Opening Day. 

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9/14 UPDATE

The Cubs have selected the contract of INF-OF Jared Young from AAA Iowa and he has been added to the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster). He would have been eligible for selection in the 2022 MLB Rule 5 Draft if he hadn't been added to the 40. 

Like Javier Assad, Jeremiah Estrada, and Hayden Wesneski, Young will have Rule 5 Draft Excluded Player status until twenty days prior to 2023 MLB Opening Day. 

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9/9 UPDATE

The Cubs have sent RHP Kervin Castro outright to AAA Iowa. He had been Designated for Assignment on Monday 9/5.

Although Castro did not have the right to elect free-agency if outrighted (he had not been outrighted previously in his career and/or accrued at least three years of MLB Service Time), he will be automatically declared an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA at 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the fnal game of the World Series if he is not added back to the 40 or signs a 2023 minor league successor contract. 

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9/5 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of RHSP Hayden Wesneski from AAA Iowa and he has been added to the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster). He was acquired by the Cubs from the Yankees at the MLB Trade Deadline for RHRP Scott Effross, and he would have been eligible for selection in the 2022 MLB Rule 5 Draft if he had not been added to the 40. 

Like Javier Assad, Jeremiah Estrada, Luke Farrell, and Nicholas Padilla, Wesneski will have Rule 5 Draft Excluded Player status until twenty days prior to 2023 MLB Opening Day. 

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9/1 UPDATE
:

The Cubs have selected the contract of RHRP Jeremiah Estrada from AAA Iowa and he has been added to the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster). He had been temporarily added to the Cubs MLB 26-man Active List roster as a replacement player this past Tuesday (8/30) for the series in Toronto. 

Estrada would have been eligible for selection in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft if he had not been added to the 40 by the 11/18 reserve list filing deadline. He was also eligible for selection in the 2021 Rule 5 Draft, but the Major League Phase was canceled due to the CBA lock-out. 

Like Javier Assad, Luke Farrell, and Nicholas Padilla, Estrada will have Rule 5 Draft Excluded Player status until twenty day prior to 2023 MLB Opening Day. 

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8/24 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of RHSP Luke Farrell from AAA Iowa.

He is out of minor league options, and he has the right to elect free-agency if he is outrighted because he has been outrighted previously in his career. 

As is the case with Javier Assad and Nicholas Padilla, Farrell will have Rule 5 Draft-Excluded Player status until 20 days prior to 2023 MLB Opening Day. 

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8/23 UPDATE #3


The Cubs have released OF Greg Deichmann. He was acquired by the Cubs along with RHP Daniel Palencia from the Oakland A's in July 2021 for LHRP Andrew Chafin. 

The Cubs could not trade Deichmann because although he was on a minor league reserve list, he had been sent outright to the minors earlier this season. 

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8/23 UPDATE #2


The Cubs have also selected the contract of RHRP Nicholas Padilla from AAA Iowa. Like Javier Assad, Padilla was eligible to be an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA post-World Series if he had not been added to the 40, and also like Assad, Padilla will have Rule 5 Draft-Excluded Player status until 20 days prior to 2023 MLB Opening Day.

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8/23 UPDATE #1
:

The Cubs have selected the contract of RHSP Javier Assad from AAA Iowa. 

Assad would have been automatically declared an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA if he was not added to an MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) or signed a 2023 minor league successor contract by 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the final game of the 2022 World Series. Other notable Cubs minor leaguers eligible to be minor league 6YFA post-2022 are LHRP Bryan Hudson, RHRP Nicholas Padilla, and OF Yonathan Perlaza (see full list of post-2022 Cubs Rule 5 Draft-eligibles and potential minor league free-agents below). 

Also, because he was added to the 40 after August 15th, Assad will have Rule 5 Draft-Excluded Playerstatus until 20 days prior to 2023 MLB Opening Day. 

With Assad selected to the MLB 40-man roster, the Cubs now have 159 players on their 180-man minor league Domestic Reserve List (21 slots are open). However, the twelve 2022 draft picks not on the 60-day IL who have not yet played in a minor league game must be added to the DRL when they play in their first game or on the day after the conclusion of the 2022 MLB regular season (whichever comes first).

There are also 27 Cubs minor leaguers presently on a minor league 60-day IL (including two 2022 draft picks) who must be reinstated no later than 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series, although the DRL roster limit will expand from 180 to 190 - AND - minor leaguers eligible to be a Rule 9 minor league 6YFA or second contract free-agent who have not signed a 2023 successor contract are declared free agents at that exact same time).  

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8/18 UPDATE

The Cubs have released RHP Jose Miguel Gonzalez (2017 IFA - Dominican Republic). He was Rule 5 Draft-eligible post-2022 (see full list below). 

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8/13 UPDATE


The Cubs have released RHP Raynel Espinal (was eligible to be an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA post-2022). He had been acquired by the Cubs in a minor league trade from the San Francisco Giants on 7/31 for INF Dixon Machado.

The Cubs now have 159 players on their 180-man in-season minor league Domestic Reserve List (21 slots are open).

Note that players on Optional Assignment to the minors, players on a minor league 60-day IL or Restricted List, and first contract players who have been "Signed for Future Service" do not count against the DRL, and players who signed after being selected in the MLB First-Year Player Draft (MLB Rule 4 Draft) do not count against the DRL until the player plays in a game or until the day after the conclusion of the MLB regular season (whichever comes first), or at 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series if a drafted player is placed on a minor league 60-day IL prior to playing in a game (as is the case with 2022 6th round pick RHP Will Frisch and 16th round pick RHP JP Wheat).  

The Domestic Reserve List expands from a maximum 180-man limit to a maximum 190-man limit at 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series, which is the exact same moment in time that MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA and second contract players not signed beyond 2022 will be declared free-agents (they don't have to file, it's automatic), and the exact same moment in time that all players on an MLB or minor league 60-day IL must be reinstated. 

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8/5 UPDATE

The Cubs have released LHP Brandon Leibrandt (was eligible to be an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA post-2022) and RHP Tanner Jesson-Dalton (was Rule 5 Draft-eligible post-2022), as well as 1B / LHP Matt Warkentin (2021 NDFA) and C-INF Bryan Serra (2020 NDFA). 

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8/4 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contracts of LHP Sean Newcomb and LHP Matt Dermody from AAA Iowa.

Newcomb is out of minor league options, and Dermody has two remaining.

Newcomb was sent outright to Iowa on June 20th, and as an Article XX-D player (he had accrued at least three years of MLB Service Time prior to being outrighted) he had the right to elect free-agency immediately and forfeit what remained of his 2022 salary ($900K salaty pro-rated at about $450K asof 6/20), or accept the outright assignment, get his full $900K, and defer his right elect free-agency until after the conclusion of the 2022 MLB regular season (during a window beginning on the day after the conclusion of the MLB regular season through October 15th).

He opted to accept the outright assignment and defer the right to elect free-agency.

However, because he has now been added back to the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster), Newcomb cannot elect free-agency  as an Article XX-D player after the conclusion of the MLB regular season, unless he is outrighted again. 

Also, Newcomb will be eligible for salary arbitration post-2022 if he is still on the 40 as of the 12/2 contract tender date.  

Dermody also is an Article XX-D player (he has been outrighted previously in his career), and so he will have the right to elect free-agency if he is outrighted again. 

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8/2 UPDATE #3
:

The Cubs have released RHRP Eury Ramos.

Ramos was scheduled to an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA if he was not added to the 40 post-2022.

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8/2 UPDATE #2


The Cubs have traded RHRP Mychal Givens to the New York Mets for minor league RHRP Saul Gonzalez.  

Gonzalez is eligible for selection in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft if he is not added to the 40 by the 11/18 reserve list fiiing deadline. 

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8/2 UPDATE #1


The Cubs have traded RHRP David Robertson to the Philadelphia Phillies for minor league RHSP Ben Brown. 

Brown is eligible for selection in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft if he is not added to the 40 by the 11/18 reserve list filing deadline.

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8/1 UPDATE:
 

The Cubs have traded RHRP Scott Effross to the New York Yankees for minor league RHSP Hayden Wesneski.

Wesneski is eligible for selection in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft if he is not added to the Cubs 40-man roster by the 11/18 reserve list filing deadline.

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7/31 UPDATE


The Cubs have traded minor league INF Dixon Machado to the San Francisco Giants for minor league RHP Raynel Espinal. Both players were eligible to be minor league free-agents after the 2022 season, but Machado was selected to the Giants MLB 40-man roster after the trade. Machado is out of minor league options. 

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7/28 UPDATE


The Cubs have released C-INF Cam Balego.

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7/21 UPDATE

RHP Matt Swarmer has been sent outright tp AAA Iowa. (He had been Designated for Assignment last Saturday). Because he has not accrued at least three years of MLB Service Time and/or been outrighted to the minors previously in his career, he does not have the right to elect free-agency. However, he will be declared an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA at 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day after the final game of the 2022 World Series if he is not added back to the 40 in the meantime. 

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7/17 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contracts of LHP Steven Brault and RHP Erich Uelmen, and RHP Aneuris Rosario and OF Carlos Morfa have been released.   

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7/13 UPDATE

The Cubs have released RHP Robert Gsellman. 

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6/30 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of OF Narciso Crook. 

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6/24 UPDATE
:

The Cubs have released LHP Conner Menez and LHP Ben Holmes. Also, LHP Sean Newcomb was sent outright to AAA Iowa on Monday 6/20, and as an Article XX-D player, he had the right to elect free-agency or defer the right to be a free-agent until after the conclusion of the MLB regular season (if he is not added back to the 40 in the meantime). He had 48 hours to decide, and he has accepted the outright assignment and deferred free-agency.

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6/17 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of RHP Adrian Sampson, and OF Clint Frazier has been sent outright to AAA Iowa. As an Article XX-D player, Frazier had the right to elect free-agency or defer the right to be a free-agent until after the conclusion of the MLB regular season (if he is not added back to the 40 in the meantime). He accepted the outright assignment and deferred free-agency. 

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6/14 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of LHP Eric Stout, and 1B Grayson Byrd has been released. 

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6/6 UPDATE


The Cubs have sent LHP Conner Menez outright to AAA Iowa. As an Article XX-D player, Menez had the right to elect free-agency, or defer free-agency until after the conclusion of the MLB regular season (if he isn't added back to the 40 in the meantime). He accepted the outright assignment and deferred free-agency. Also, OF Flemin Bautista has been released.

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6/4 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of RHP Caleb Kilian, and RHP Roberrt Gsellman has been sent outright to AAA Iowa. As an Article XIX-A player, Gsellman had the right to refuse an outright assignment and demand his outright release, but he accepted the outright assignment and now will have the opportunity to elect free-agency after the conclusion of the MLB regular season (if he isn't added back to the 40 in the meantime).
NOTE: It is likely that Gsellman signed an Article XIX-A 45-day waiver sometime prior to having his contract selected on 5/3. This type of waiver allows a club to outright an Article XIX-A player within 45 days of having his contract selected.   

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6/3 UPDATE

The Cubs have signed second contract free-agents RHP Stanley Guzman (previously released by TEX), RHP Fraiman Marte (previously released by STL), and RHP Abel Moya (previously released by LAD) to minor league contracts. Moya was assigned to DSL Cubs Blue, and S. Guzman and F. Marte were assigned to DSL Cubs Red.

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5/31 UPDATE

The Cubs have selected the contracts of LHP Brandon Hughes and RHP Matt Swarmer, and FA RHP Adrian Sampson has been signed to a minor league contract.  

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5/22 UPDATE

The Cubs have selected the contract of C-INF P. J. Higgins

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5/10 UPDATE

The Cubs have selected the contracts of LHP Conner Menez, RHP Adrian Sampson, and INF Ildemaro Vargas. 

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5/3 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of RHP Robert Gsellman, and RHPs Kevin McCarthy and Eric Yardley have been released. 

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4/25 UPDATE
:

INF Edwin Figuera has been released.  

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4/22 UPDATE


OF Greg Deichmann has been sent outright to AAA Iowa. He will be eligible for selection in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft, and he will be under club control through the 2023 season.

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4/16 UPDATE

The Cubs have selected the contracts of RHP Mark Leiter Jr and LHP Locke St. John. 

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4/14 UPDATE


The Cubs have signed FA RHP Luke Farrell to a minor league contract and he has been assigned to Extended Spring Training.  

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4/5 UPDATE


The Cubs have released RHP Benjamin Rodriguez and OF Jose O. Lopez.  

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4/4 UPDATE


The Cubs have released RHPs Tyler Suellentrop and Austin Krzeminski. Both were second contract players (Suellentrop was previously released by SEA and Krzeminski was previously released by LAA). 

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4/2 UPDATE


The Cubs have selected the contract of RHP Jesse Chavez from AAA Iowa and he has been added to the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster). 

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3/22 UPDATE


The Cubs have officially signed RHP Robert Gsellman to a minor league contract. 

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3/21 UPDATE


Cubs have signed LHSP Steven Brault to a minor league contract with a supposed July player opt-out. He didn't get the expected MLB contract because of medical issues detected in his physical. 

Also, RHP Shane Combs (Cubs 2019 31st round pick - U. of Notre Dame) has retired. 

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3/20 UPDATE


The Cubs have signed FA INF Robel Garcia to a minor league contract. 

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3/19 UPDATE

The Cubs have re-signed RHSP Adrian Sampson to a minor league contract. He had elected free-agency after he was outrighted to AAA Iowa by the Vubs post-2021. 

3/17 UPDATE


The Cubs have signed FA LHP Brandon Leibrandt to a minor league contract. 

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As things stand right now...

66 Cubs minor leaguers are eligible for selection in the December 2022 MLB Rule 5 Draft, and 32 Cubs minor leaguers (23 post-2022 6YFA and nine 2022 second-contract players) are eligible to be declared MLB Rule 9 minor league free-agents at 5 PM Eastern on the 5th day after the final game of the 2022 World Series (or at 5 PM Eastern on October 15th if the World Series is cancelled). 

In addition, Article XX-D OF Clint Jackson Frazier and LHP Sean Newcomb were sent outright to AAA Iowa and accepted the outright assignment, choosing to defer free-agency until after the conclusion of the MLB regular season (if not added back to the MLB 40-man roster in the meantime).    

Among the notable Cubs first-time Rule 5 Draft eligibles post-2022 are RHSPs Ben Brown, Ryan Jensen, Kohl Franklin, Chris Clarke, and Richard Gallardo, RHRPs Cayne Ueckert and Michael McAvene, C Pablo Aliendo, INF Chase Strumpf, 1B Bryce Ball, and OFs Brennen Davis, Kevin Alcantara, Yohendrick Pinango, Darius Hill, and Cole Roederer. (The post-2022 reserve list filing deadline will be on November 18th, two days earlier than usual because 11/20 falls on a Sunday in 2022). 

Some of the noteworthy Cubs minor leaguers who were eligible for selection in the 2021 Rule 5 Draft and who will be eligible again in 2022 include RHSPs Cam Sanders, Riley Thompson, and Luis Devers, RHRPs Danis Correa and Yovanny Cruz, LHRP Brendon Little, and INFs Jake Slaughter, Andy Weber, and Levi Jordan.   

The most noteworthy Cubs minor leaguer who will be eligible to be an MLB Rule 9 minor league free-agent for the first time post-2022 (if he is not added to the 40 or signs a 2023 minor league successor contract prior to being declared a 6YFA at 5 PM Eastern on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series) is OF Yonathan Perlaza.  

The most noteworthy Cubs minor leaguer who will be eligible to be a Rule 9 minor league free-agent once again post-2022 (if he is not added to the 40 or signs a 2023 minor league successor contracr prior to being declared a 6YFA at 5 PM Eastern on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series) is LHRP Bryan Hudson.  

There are almost always one or two unexpected pop-up break-out guys every season, so a lot is still TBD.  

NOTE: If not added to the MLB 40-man roster, the players underlined and in bold green below will likely be placed on the 38-man AAA Iowa reserve list on 11/18 so that they will be eligible for selection only in the Major League Phase of the 2022 Rule 5 Draft   

CUBS MINOR LEAGUERS ELIGIBLE FOR SELECTION IN 2022 RULE 5 DRAFT (last updated 9-22-2022):
Kevin Alcantara, OF
Pablo Aliendo, C
Elian Almanzar, RHP
D. J. Artis, OF
Bryce Ball, 1B
Hunter Bigge, RHP 
Ben Brown, RHP
Derek Casey, RHP 
Chris Clarke, RHP
Danis Correa, RHP
Yovanny Cruz, RHP
Brennen Davis, OF
Bradford Deppermann, RHP
Christian Donahue, INF 
Luis Devers, RHP
Manuel Espinoza, RHP
Miguel Fabrizio, C-1B
Kelvin Feliz, RHP
Kohl Franklin, RHP
Richard Gallardo, RHP
Reivaj Garcia, INF
Saul Gonzalez, RHP
Ben Hecht, RHP
Darius Hill, OF
Josue Huma, INF
Gabriel Jaramillo, RHP
Ryan Jensen, RHP
Levi Jordan, INF
Chris Kachmar, RHP
Bryan King, LHP
Caleb Knight, C
Adam Laskey, LHP
Brendon Little, LHP
Joel Machado, LHP
Nelson Maldonado, 1B
Luis Marte, RHP
Michael McAvene, RHP
Juan Mora, INF
Rafael Morel, INF
Joe Nahas, RHP
Eduarniel Nunez, RHP
Miguel Pabon, INF-C
Ezequiel Pagan, OF
Jack Patterson, LHP
Fabian Pertuz, INF
Yohendrick Pinango, OF
Malcom Quintero, C
Jake Reindl, RHP
Peyton Remy, RHP
Samuel Reyes, RHP
Luis Angel Rodriguez, LHP
Cole Roederer, OF
Cam Sanders, RHP
Yeison Santana, INF
Jake Slaughter, INF
Alberto Sojo, RHP
Chase Strumpf, INF
Riley Thompson, RHP
Cayne Ueckert, RHP
Didier Vargas, LHP
Luis Vazquez, INF
Luis Verdugo, INF
Jake Washer, C
Andy Weber, INF
Blake Whitney, RHP
Bryce Windham, C-INF

Additionally, a free-agent who signs a 2023 minor league contract prior to the 2022 Rule 5 Draft will be eligible for selection if the player was 18 or younger on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract and it is at least the 5th Rule 5 Draft following his first qualified season, and a minor league player who was 19 years or older on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract becomes eligible for selection starting with the 4th Rule 5 Draft following his first qualified season.

NOTE: If not added to the MLB 40-man roster, the players underlined and in bold green below will likely be offered a 2023 minor league successor contract prior to being declared a minor league free-agent on the 5th day after the final game of the 2022 World Series, and if the player signs the successor contract, he will likely be placed on the 38-man AAA Iowa reserve list so that he will be eligible for selection only in the Major League Phase of the 2022 Rule 5 Draft   

MLB RULE 9 FREE-AGENT POST-2022 WORLD SERIES

SIX-YEAR MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENTS:
Jose Albertos, RHP
James Bourque, RHP (Article XX-D player)
Craig Brooks, RHP (on Restricted List - see NOTE-2 below)
Jesus Camargo, RHP (on Restricted List - see NOTE-2 below)
Erick Castillo, C (Article XX-D player)
Kervin Castro, RHP (Article XX-D player)
Zach Davis, OF
Donnie Dewees, OF
Trent Giambrone, INF (Article XX-D player)
Stephen Gonsalves, LHP (Article XX-D player - no minor league options left if added to the 40)
John Hicks, C (Article XX-D player - no minor league options left if added to the 40)
Jonathan Holder, RHP (Article XX-D player)
Bryan Hudson, LHP
Dakota Mekkes, RHP
Tyler Payne, C (Article XX-D player)
C. D. Pelham, LHP (Article XX-D player)
Yonathan Perlaza, OF
Carlos Sepulveda, INF
Wyatt Short, LHP
Jonathan Sierra, OF
Matt Swarmer (Article XX-D player) 
Dauris Valdez, RHP
Delvin Zinn, INF
NOTE-1: Article XX-D means players can elect free-agency if sent outright to minors, and Article XIX-A means player must give his consent before he can be sent to minors by optional or outright assignment. 
NOTE-2: A minor league player who is on the Restricted List for the entire 2022 season will not accrue a minor league season and thus would not qualify as a post-2022 6YFA - IF - the 2022 season was needed to qualify as a 6YFA (as is the case with Brooks and Camargo).    

SECOND CONTRACT MINOR LEAGUE PLAYERS (see NOTE-3 below)
Michael Arias, RHP (previously released by TOR)
Andres Bonalde, LHP (on Restricted List - previously released by CUBS)
Stanley Guzman, RHP (previously released by TEX)
Kyle Johnson, RHP (previously released by NYY)
Fraiman Marte, RHP (previously released by STL) - see NOTE-4
Abel Moya, RHP (previously released by LAD)
Dalton Stambaugh, LHP (previously released by BAL)
Tim Susnara, C (previously released by AZ)
Harrison Wenson, C (previously released by LAA)
NOTE-3: With mutual consent (player & club), a second-contract minor league player who has accrued fewer than seven minor league seasons can be signed to a multi-year minor league contract with club control extending up through the player's seventh minor league season. So it is possible that one or more of the Cubs minor league second contract players are signed beyond the 2022 season (TBD).
NOTE-4: RHP Fraiman Marte (previously released by STL) is a second-contract player, but he is not yet eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft. 

ARTICLE XIX-A MINOR LEAGUE FA POST-2022:
NONE 

ARTICLE XX-A MINOR LEAGUE FA POST-2022:
Clint Jackson Frazier, OF (accepted outright assignment / deferred free-agency until after conclusion of MLB regular season)   
Sean Newcomb, LHP (accepted outright assignment / deferred free-agency until after the conclusion of MLB regular season). 

Comments

Phil,

Here would be my Rule 5 adds:

P--Wisneski, Estrada, Jensen, K. Franklin

IF--Slaughter

OF--B. Davis, Alcantara, Pinango

If there's room (and I could find these 4 Roster slots) -- Devers, R. Thompson, Perlaza, D. Hill.

GEORGE A: 

If I were to hazard a guess right now, I would say something like: 

VIRTUAL LOCKS:  
1. Brennen Davis 
2. Kevin Alcantara 
3. Hayden Wesneski  

VERY LIKELY 
4. Jeremiah Estrada
5. Ben Brown 
6. Yohendrick Pinango 

Then it's up for grabs.

I can think of another dozen beyond the six I listed above who have a legit chance of being added to the 40 depending in part on how they finish the season (and in some cases their performance in the AFL), but I can't see the Cubs adding more than five or six (and that seems like a lot!) beyond the six virtual lock / very likely ones, which will leave about six or seven guys who in other years would have been added to the 40 without a second thought, but there just won't be room for all of them this time.  

The Cubs will probably need to be seriously looking to make trades prior to the 11/18 reserve list filing deadline, where they send one or more of their Rule 5 Draft eligibles they are not planning to add to the 40 to another club that has 40-man roster slots available in exchange for maybe DSL or ACL/FCL player(s) or pitcher(s)... that is, legit prospects who are not yet Rule 5 Draft eligible (AKA "lottery tickets").  

Self scouting (that is, the Cubs own scouts assigned to scout Cubs affiliates) will need to be really good. 

Thanks for the response, Phil, as always.  You hit the nail on my biggest reservations on this Organization  -- Self Scouting. Hopefully, with successes like Effross, Hughes, and Slaughter they're getting better at my 2nd reservation  -- Player Development. 

No way on Franklin.  He's been brutal and missed a lot of time.  Jensen is questionable being the 1st rd pedigree.  Slaughter is good, but there are too many of his type of player.  Thompson is the same category as Franklin.  Devers, Hill, and Peralza wouldn't be worth a MLB roster spot.  My question is where is the love for Matt Mervis??  He's a runaway for Cubs milb POY.  The only person close is Canario and he's only doing in lower level and 60 points less in AVG.  Mervis has hit in every level this year.  Plus who do the Cubs really have at 1st base?  Rivas, Higgins, Schwindel.  The 3 combined don't have as good as numbers.  I'm not saying call him a top 10 Cubs prospect, but right now I'd take him over (and over rated) Amaya any day of the week and twice on Sunday.  He can't crack MLB Top 30 Cubs, that's BS.

MLB hasn't really Re-ranked their list. I'm sure Mervis will be on their top 30 whenever they do. He's getting plenty of love, just not on MLB.com yet. That said he's got 0% chance at the 40 man this off-season. He's not rule 5 eligible.

Agreed with you on Amaya, by the way.

I wasn't sure if Mervis was because he was a NDFA, not drafted (well was previously, but chose not to sign with WAS) and not an INTFA.  Rule 5 eligible or not he's still might currently be better than the ones currently in Chicago.  I think we found Schwindel's ceiling, Rivas is still TBD, and Higgins, which is the real one this or previous years version?  Either way not a high ceiling.  I do realize it's a business of squeezing every last day out of a player, just ask Kris Bryant, so they might hold him back as long as possible to see if he's for real and gets full PT etc.

A lot of people complained when they got an extra year from Bryant by waiting a few weeks to bring him you.  But I heard very few people last year complaining because he wasn't already a free agent.

Also with the Top 30 rankings I have to believe their will be quite the shakeup adding Mervis, maybe Estrada (back into), plus the draft class that should probably add Horton, Ferris, Paciolla and Mule.

Any thoughts on the system ranking change the Padres trade deadline moves will have on their system? 

CUBSTER: The top of the Padres farm system has been depleted. They still have C Luis Campusano, SS Jackson Merrill, and 2022 1st round pick RHP Dylan Lesko (2022 TJS), but then there is a big drop. 

I think that I tend to believe Jed when he says that the market (in general) wasn’t robust.  Feels like the competitive balance of the various races shifted in the weeks leading up to the trade deadline & I can see there being not a ton of motivation for buying teams.  Some teams that were certain to be buyers faded (BOS, CWSx, SF) and others in a potential buy-position in the standings aren’t all-in yet (BAL).

3/6 divisions are virtually locked up & a 4th competitive race is in our own division (which may make trading less likely people say). 3/4 of the “bye slots” are basically set due to the 3rd division leader in each league lagging considerably behind the pace.

Plus you have the weird dynamic that in both leagues where a team would much rather be the 6 seed than the 5 (or even arguably the 4).  If I’m ATL & I fail to catch NYM for the division title, would I rather try to win 2 games against SDP @ home or MIL on the road (probably at home, but not by a huge margin).  If I’m STL or PHIL, where is my motivation to claw my way from #6 to #5?  At 6 you play on the road vs. MIL; at 5 you play on the road vs. SDP or ATL.

BOS catcher christian vazquez got wilyer abreu + enmanuel valdez...guys that ranked in the 20s in the HOU team prospect rankings.  after going to boston they slot in #28 and #29 according to MLB's team prospect rankings.

they are putting up great numbers, but there's questions about projections and stregnth of defense for both guys.

vazquez wasn't as ranked as highly as contreras in the trade market, but vazquez and contreras were the 2 hot C going into the trade season.  BOS was probably looking more, but they settled on the 2 prospects they got.

losing HOU as a potential trading partner and SD blowing their load on soto didn't help the cubs.

ultimately, the cubs biggest chip...a catcher...wasn't as hot of a market as the cubs needed it to be...

Losing HOU and SD as trade partners definitely had an effect. NYM and TB both likely saw that and knew competition was minimal, so they lowballed.

 I'm not as down on Jed as most everyone, though my mind is very much not made up on him (I mostly blame the Ricketts for the current situation). But I have to say I respect the decision to not trade for pennies on the dollar, even with free agency for Willson coming. It sends a message for the future to trade partners. I can't imagine the negativity if he traded Willson for guys who ended up in the 20s in our system.

I think it's fairly obvious that the 2022 MLB Trade Deadline was a seller's market only with respect to Juan Soto,  Josh Bell, and Josh Hader (all three of whom went to SD, BTW), plus three semi-elite SP (Castillo, Montas, and Mahle). Otherwise, it was strictly a buyer's market.  

I truly believe there is now better than a 75/25 chance that Willson Contreras will accept the QO post-2022 (which will be about $20M), and better than a 50/50 chance that he signs a front-loaded four-year extension (something like 25/15/15/15) with a full "no trade," a player opt-out after the first or second year, and maybe a club option after the second or third year. 

Contreras has all the signs of suffering from Ernie Banks Syndrome. He really, really, REALLY loves playing for the Cubs, and he wears it on his sleeve. Unfortunately for him (and his agent) it doesn't give him a lot of leverage in bargaining. 

Brewers acquired Dinelson Lamet in the Hader trade but just DFA'd him. I think he's worth a claim if they can get him. Reports say it made sense to include him in the trade but they added Rosenthal and Bush putting his roster spot in jeopardy.

CUBSTER: Dinelson Lamet (more specifically Lamet's contract) was included in the Hader deal to keep the Padres $1M under the CBT threshold (that why Brewers GM David Stearns said Lamet was included to "balance out the deal"), although that all got blown to smithereens after the Soto trade when Mr. Hosmer and his $23M AAV refused to go to Washington.

RHP Dinelson Lamet has been Designated for Assignment by the Brewers, 48 hours after he was acquired from the Padres in the Josh Hader trade. Lamet cannot be traded so he will have to be placed on waivers. The Cubs have the #6 waiver claim priority and they should put in a claim and if they are awarded the claim give him a shot at late-inning relief. He is making less money than the Cubs saved by trading Robertson, Givens, and Martin.  

Lamet is under control through the 2023 season (he will be arbitration eligible post-2022), but the Cubs can always non-tender him post-2022 if they don't like what they see of him.   

WAS, OAK, KC, DET, and PIT (in that order) presently have a better waiver claim priority than the Cubs, but by the time Lamet finishes his 47-hour "waiver ride" (probably by Friday or Saturday), the Cubs waiver claim priority  could be as high as #3 (TBD). 

Beginning on the 31st day of the MLB regular season and extending through the conclusion of the MLB regular season. MLB waiver claim priority is based on the standings as of 9 AM (Eastern) on the day the player's 47-hour waiver claiming period ends, with the tie-breaker being the clubs' record from the previous season.

Then beginning on the day after the conclusion of the MLB regular season, and extending through the 30th day of the MLB regular season, the previous season's standings are used to determine waiver claim priority, with the tie-breaker being the clubs' record from two seasons back (or three, four, five, etc seasons back if necessary to break the tie).  

Something to keep in mind about Dinelson Lamet is that although he has minor league options remaining, he reached five years of MLB Service Time last Thursday so he cannot be sent to the minors (optioned or outrighted) without his consent. So if the Cubs do claim him off waivers, he almost certainly will have to remain on the Cubs MLB 26-man active list roster going forward.

Lamet is under club control through the 2023 season, and he will be arbitration-eligible for the final time post-2022.   

Dinelson Lamet has been claimed off waivers by the Colorado Rockies, so obviously the Cubs (as well as the Nationals, A's, Royals, Tigers, Reds, Pirates, and Angels) passed on the opportunity to acquire him for $50,000 plus what remains of his 2022 salary (about $1.75M).  

lamet's inability to develop a 3rd pitch really hurt him.

he's got a great fastball and slider, but the combo hasn't worked out.  with a 3rd pitch he'd still be a starter rather than a pen guy.  some teams may view him as a starter, but good luck on that 3rd pitch.  they've tried matching a sinker with his 4-seam, nope.  they've tried a change, nope.  *shrug*

30 years old, but there's still promise in a 95+mph arm that's got a slider.

That's why they have the pitch lab. 

Phil, can David Bote be outrighted this fall but remain under contract for the future?

azbobbop: Presuming he isn't claimed off waivers, David Bote can be sent outright to the minors without his consent up until he has accrued five years of MLB Service Time. As of today, Bote has accrued exactly four years plus 49 days of MLB Service Time (4+049), and so he has to accrue 123 more days before he will reach five years (5+000) of MLB Service Time, and unless he is optioned or outrighted to the minors in the meantime, he will hit five years of MLB Service Time right around June 1st of next season. 

However... 

Even though Bote does not have to give his consent (yet) before he can be sent outright to the minors, if he is outrighted he can elect free-agency immediately, or defer election of free-agency until a window that begins on the day after the conclusion of the MLB season through October 15th (unless he is added back to the MLB roster in the meantime). Or he doesn't have to elect free-agency at all. 

The problem with Bote (in particular) electing free-agency after he is outrighted is that he would forfeit the balance of his contract and what remains of his salary. Unlike most players in his class (player has accrued at least three years but less than five years of MLB Service Time), Bote signed a multi-year multi-million dollar contract that pays him $2.5M in 2022, $4M in 2023, $5.5M in 2024, $7M club option (or $1M buy-out) in 2025, and $7.6M (or $1M buy-out) in 2026, and It's not likely he would get another contract like that if he were to elect free-agency after being outrighted.     

So if the Cubs outright Bote prior to the conclusion of the 2022 MLB regular season or sometime during the post-2022 off-season, he will likely (reluctantly) accept the outright assignment and play at AAA Iowa next season, even through 2024 if necessary. He would not become a minor league 6YFA until after his contract expires, probably after the 2024 season when the Cubs would be able to (finally) pay a buy-out and make the contract go away.  

He could get called up by the Cubs periodically in 2023 and 2024 and then get outrighted again each time (presuming he isn't claimed off waivers, which given his contract is unlikely), but once he has acrued five years of MLB Service Time he can't be outrighted (or even optioned) back to the minors without consent. 

Getting outrighted prior to the conclusion of the MLB regular season or sometime during the post-2022 off-season and accepting the outright assignment and not electing free-agency would put an immediate stop to Bote's accrual of MLB Service Time, but it would start ticking (accruing) again anytime he gets called up to MLB. So the Cubs would have to be careful not let him accrue too many days of MLB Service Time each time he gets called up in 2023 and 2024, otherwise he would reach a point (five years of MLB Service Time) where he can't be outrighted without his consent.

Per Sharma tweet for todays DH...

RHP Matt Dermody added as the Cubs 27th man, Sean Newcomb will be called up (corresponding move to come) and start Game 2 of the DH.

Phil, Whatever happened to Alexander Vizcaino? 

azbobbop: The Cubs placed Alexander Vizcaino on the Restricted List because he did not report to Spring Training. He apparently is still in the Dominican Republic for some reason.  

Phil - Does this year count for Vizcaino for purposes of 6-year free agency, eligibiligy for the draft, etc?

DAVID P: If Alexander Vizcaino were to spend the entire 2022 season on Optional Assignment (he was optioned to AA Tennessee during Spring Trainng) and the Restricted List (which he must, because he cannot be reinstated from the Restricted List during the season if he has not been reinstated by August 1st), he will - NOT - accrue a year of minor league service toward being an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA, if he were to be outrighted to the minors at some point in the future.

Coming into the 2022 season, Vizcaino had accrued six seasons of minor league service, and he needs all or part of at least seven separate minor league seasons -- including seasons spent on Optional Assignment to the minors -- to qualify for minor league free agency - IF - he is on a minor league reserve list as of 5 PM  (Eastern) on the 5th day following the final game of the World Series.   

So because he will be on the Restricted List for the entire 2022 season, he will need to accrue one more minor league season post-2022 to qualify to be an MLB Rule 9 minor league 6YFA, but that's only if he were to be outrighted to the minors at some point in 2023 or beyond. 

Also, Vizcaino will be eligible for a 4th minor league option in 2024. 

https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2022-in-season-prospect-li...
 

Saw this on Twitter...from Road to Wrigley 

"Fangraphs has updated Cristian Hernandez to a 50 FV and he is ranked 80 on their top 100 now. Cubs have 6 top 100s now and this moved the cubs to the third best farm system as ranked by Fangraphs."

fangraphs finally joins mlb + baseball america.

he's gotta be one the cubs most hyped prospects in a long time for a guy who's career has barely begun.  not arguing against it.  scouts really like the guy.

Rockies claim Lamet. Cubs must have not made a claim.

Small sample size disclaimer but excellent first start...

Final line for Ben Brown in his debut for Tennessee tonight:

5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 9 K 2 BB

Gonna see Wisneski's I-Cub debut today.

Um, well his fastball touched 97...

ow.  that is a brutal debut.

1.2ip 8h 2bb 2b, 8r/er, 53 pitches

CUBS VETERAN MINOR LEAGUERS LIKELY TO BE TRADED TO A CONTENDER DURING AUGUST: 

1. John Hicks, C-1B 
2. Luke Farrell, RHSP 
3. Jonathan Holder, RHRP
4. Erick Castillo, C 
5. Raynel Espinal, RHP (acquired from SF for Dixon Machado on 7/31)
6. Tyler Payne, C 
7. Trent Giambrone, INF-OF
8. Zach Davis, OF

Each of these players will be minor league 6YFA post-2022 and are unlikely to get added to the 40 or sign a 2023 minor league successor contract. 

Players on the MLB 40-man roster cannot be traded, and OF Clint Jackson Frazier, OF Greg Deichmann, and RHP Matt Swarmer cannot be traded after the MLB Trade deadline because they are outighted players. 

I saw in one place where Matt Dermody was about to sign with a KBO team.  Haven't seen it anywhere else.  Could it be another Matt Dermody, not the one who pitched an inning during the doubleheader with the Cards last week?

AZ Phil,

I've never been able to get this rule straight -- If a player is optioned and another is recalled between games of a doubleheader, do *both* players get credit for a day of service *and* a day on optional assignment? Thanks in advance.

jdrnym: Both players get credit for a day of MLB Service Time (the same day, as it happens). The 10 or 15-day option clock (minimim number of days a player must spend on optional assignment) for the player optioned to the minors after the first game starts ticking rhe next day.

Franmil Reyes acquired off waivers from the Guardians. Carter Hawkins must have had a deciding vote.

owed 1.5m, arb eligable next season.

While Franmil Reyes must be added to the 40 immediately, a 26-man roster move will not be necessary until he physically reports (he has up to 72 hours to report).

Reyes will remaun under club control through 2024, is arbitration eligible post-2022 and post-2023, and he has two minor league options available (at least up until he reaches five years of MLB Service Time, which if he remains on the MLB active list roster continuously until that time would be about June 1st of next season. 

With Javier Assad having been added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster, the 40 is now full. However, if additional 40-man roster slots are needed in the near future (like for Manuel Rodriguez, Adbert Alzolay, and/or Michael Hermosillo, all three of whom are presently on minor league rehab assignments), Wade Miley has already spent more than sixty days on the 15-day IL so he could be transferred to the 60-day IL and still be reinstated at any time, and we know that Jason Heyward will not be playing anymore this season, so he could be transferred to the 60-day IL as well.

Also, Alec Mills will have spent 60-days on the 15-day IL as of 8/31, and Kyle Hendricks will have spent 60 days on the 15-day IL as of 9/3, so one or both could be transferred to the 60-day IL at any time and still be eligible to be reinstated by the end of August (Mills) or by the first week of September (Hendricks), presuming they are ready and able to pitch by that time (which doesn't seem too likely at the moment). 

In addition, keep in mind that MLB active rosters will expand from 26 ro 28 on September 1st, and (per the CBA)  all clubs  - MUST - add two players to their active roster at that time (no more than 14 of the 28 can be pitchers).  Back when the MLB active list roster limit expanded from 25 to 40 on September 1st, clubs could add as many as 15 or as few as no extra players to their active list roster in September (100% club option), but the 28-man September roster is now mandatory.

The reason why AAA leagues now continue to play past Labor Day and do not conclude until the last week of September is because with a 28-man roster, MLB clubs will be sending players back & forth between the MLB club and the club's AAA affiliate throughout the month of September (something that did not happen back when the MLB active roster limit expanded to 40 in September). 

I first saw Javier Assad pitch in the AZL in 2016. Very poised for his age, extremely nice kid but just didn't seem to have the arsenal to go far. Now six years later, he has reworked his style, picked up some much needed velocity and is in the majors. Congratulations  to Javier and the Cubs on a terrific player development path.

he had a multi-run lead, got into a tiny bit of trouble in the 5th, and got yanked by d.ross.

he's a real cub now.

good for j.estrada.

aside from a slew of baseball injuries (including TJ) to slow his career, he had COVID bad enough to get a 2 week hospital stay.

for those wondering, no not vax'd...got vax'd afterwards at the encouragement of the cubs...almost a year later (this july)...because a 2 week hospital stay for a 23 year old athete evidently doesn't speak for itself.  i don't get it, yall...i really don't.  anyway...

very promising addition to the pen.  he picked up where he left off last year without missing a beat and jumped from A-ball to the bigs.  he's probably here to stay.

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