June 2005 Draft: Preview
We take the best available talent. To me, the only way to [draft] is to stack up the players, take the best ones, and that's it."Here are some of the names being rumored to possibly be the Cubs first round pick. OF/LHP Brian Bogusevic (Tulane) A lefty pitcher or power hitting right fielder? No one is quite sure yet although the betting line is favoring a pitcher. Heíll most definitely be a first round pick and should go somewhere near the Cubs pick. Heís got a Mark Mulder type body (6í3î, 200)and has three good pitches, a fastball with some late sink, a circle change, and uses his slider as an out pitch. LHP Ricky Romero (Cal-State Fullerton) It appear the Blue Jays have a liking for him at the sixth spot but some say they may pass on him because of concerns with his velocity. Heís had a great season for one of colleges powerhouses, Cal-State Fullerton and had a good run with Team USA last year. Everyone raves about his competitiveness as well as his repertoire of pitches. Two fastballs, a 12 to 6 curve, a cutter and a late-breaking slider. INF Justin Bristow (Mills Goodwin HS, Virginia) Basball America just did a piece on Virginia becoming a new hotbed of amateur baseball talent. Also, as pointed out in the comments of a previous thread, the Cubs have been scouting the region heavily in recent years. Heís committed to the University of Auburn but a nice signing bonus may change those plans. Most believe heíll play the left side of the infield in the majors, probably a shortstop, maybe a third basemen, but he pitches as well reaching the low 90ís. Heís a big boy at 6í4î, 220 pounds, already plays good defense, has good power and above average plate discipline. My hunch says this is the Cubs pick, for what itís worth. OF Jacob Ellsbury (Oregon State University) Boydís World, one of the best college baseball web sites available, has devised a strength of schedule rating for college baseball teams. The top 5 are Oregon State, Cal-State Fullerton, Tulane, Texas and USC. In Pac-10 play, Ellsbury put up a line of .415/.504/.604 in 207 at-bats and even stole 21 bases in 29 attempts. He hits lefty and Baseball America says heís a Johnny Damon look-a-like with Damonís tablesetter skills. Plays some good defense as well. The Scott Boras class Since many teams donít want to deal with Scott Boras or the personalities associated with a young kid whoís decided heís worth millions without ever doing anything in professional ball, some of these players may drop on draft day. LHP Mark Pawelek (Springville HS, Utah) He's ranked as the top high school pitcher available in the draft, his stock has been rising of late due to an impressive performance in the Utah state playoffs. He's 6'2", 190 pounds with a fastball that touches 95 mph, a good curve and throws a change and splitter as well. Cubs haven't drafted a high school pitcher with their top pick since 1997 (Jon Garland), but might be too good a talent to pass up. RHP Luke Hochevar (University of Tennessee) Should go in top 10, possibly top 5 and is considered by many as the top arm in the draft. 6í4î, 198 pounds and has a K rate well over 9 so far this season. Emerged as one of Team USAís top pitchers last year. RHP Mike Pelfrey (Wichita State University) Itís between him and Hochevar for top pitcher in the draft. 6í7î, 210 pounds and a fastball that reaches the upper 90ís. Hopefully heíll turn out better then the only other Wichita St. alum I know, Darren Dreifort. RHP Craig Hansen (St. Johnís University) A relief pitcher who should go in the top 10, he emerged after a successful campaign in the Cape Cod league. Heís said to be the most major league ready player in the draft and throws both his fastball and slider with command. Apparently has an odd arm angle that throws off hitters as well. RHP Mark McCormick (Baylor University) 6í2î, 190 pounds with an upper 90ís fastball, nasty curve and a power slider. Listed having the best fastball among the college prospects but has some control problems, so sounds like the perfect fit for the Cubs. SS Tyler Green (Georgia Tech University) Green wasnít a certain first round pick before he signed with Boras and now he may be around in the second round. Supposedly an excellent baserunner with an okay glove and respectable swing. Iím hardly excited. Here are some other potentials.... RHP Wade Townsend Selected 8th by the Orioles last year but didnít sign. Stock has been dropping of late and goes with the Cubs philosophy of trying to pick up upper-round talent that other teams may have soured on (think Bobby Brownlie or Grant Johnson). Can't remember if he's a Boras baby or not. RHP P Cesar Carillo Small frame but went undefeated the last 2 seasons for Univeristy of Miami until recent loss. C Jeff Clement Plays for USC and has been projected as high as #3. Great plate discipline, power and defense has improved this year. God knows we could use a catching prospectÖwhy canít we trade picks again and move up in the draft? I believe the first round of the draft is being broadcast on mlb.com and we shall soon see who the Cubs will select. May his name be synonmous with Corey Patterson, Kerry Wood and Mark Prior and NOT Luis Montanez, Ty Griffin or Ben Christensen.
"trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."
that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.
crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?
And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.
But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.
early tim tebow stuff rolling in...
ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power
it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.
LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.
Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).
it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.
plus, the kids deserve it.
The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either.
That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy.
Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.
"i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."
This level of discourse is #charming.
I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).
Have a nice day.
what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?
i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.
In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.
Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.
The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.
i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.
the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.
some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.
I read it as him saying it's not really that much of a concern and that the one time it really cost Lester, vs. K.C., was an anomaly.
if jeff says it, it's cool...when i say it, it's straight from the mouth of hitler.
aside from the lack of jeff touching on the insane leads runners take and lester's inability to throw if he's fielding, this is a lot of what i've said about the issue.
exploitable, needs his own personal catcher to control his shortcomings, relies on his ability to get outs along with his personal catcher keeping runners in check before things become further exploited...
That would be Rice Krispy Treat