Cubs Potential Offseason Targets: Rajai Davis

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Let's give credit to Arizona Phil for this suggestion as he pointed out that Rajai Davis qualified for Super Two status and could be available if the A's want to save some money.

Year Age Tm G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP
2006 25 PIT 20 17 14 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 3 .143 .250 .214 .464 22 3 0 0
2007 26 TOT 75 219 190 32 53 11 2 1 9 22 6 21 28 .279 .361 .374 .735 92 71 1 4
2007 26 PIT 24 57 48 6 13 2 1 0 2 5 2 7 3 .271 .357 .354 .711 87 17 1 0
2007 26 SFG 51 162 142 26 40 9 1 1 7 17 4 14 25 .282 .363 .380 .743 93 54 0 4
2008 27 TOT 113 226 214 30 52 5 4 3 19 29 6 8 40 .243 .272 .346 .618 68 74 1 1
2008 27 SFG 12 19 18 2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 6 .056 .105 .056 .161 -56 1 0 0
2008 27 OAK 101 207 196 28 51 5 4 3 19 25 6 7 34 .260 .288 .372 .660 80 73 1 1
2009 28 OAK 125 432 390 65 119 27 5 3 48 41 12 29 70 .305 .360 .423 .784 112 165 12 7
4 Seasons 333 894 808 128 226 44 11 7 76 93 27 60 141 .280 .336 .387 .724 94 313 14 12
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/26/2009.

Blue Jays vs. Athletics

Those numbers sure are nothing to get you excited, at least not as a starter. On the other hand, he could make an interesting replacement for Reed Johnson as a center field platoon for Kosuke Fukudome if Fukudome stays in center. His career splits don't show a huge advantage versus lefties quite like Reed Johnson. Davis has a career .735 OPS against lefties vs .717 against righties, while Johnson has an .841 OPS versus lefties and just .707 versus righties. On the other hand, Davis is a game changer in the field. Fangraphs and BP both rate him highly as does the Fan's Scouting Report. Those defensive numbers helped contribute to WAR and WARP1 numbers near 4 for 2009 combined with his surge in hitting.

Of course, when you're a speed demon with little power and pedestrian walk rate, you know his BABIP numbers are gonna skew on the high side and lo and behold he had a .366 last year which will be tough to repeat.

I'd probably pass on any potential trade in this case if I were the Cubs. I know the Cubs wanted to add speed to their roster next year and that elusive true leadoff man, but getting in on Davis (maybe a Fuld for Davis trade?), wouldn't be much more different than trading for Juan Pierre or signing Joey Gathright. Yeah, if he could repeat his offensive numbers from last year, his defense and baserunning would make him worthwhile, but I have a hard time giving any assurances that he could repeat those numbers. As a possible platoon partner, he's gonna fare better than Fukudome versus lefties, but just because he's hitting from the right side I don't know if he gives you that much more over Sam Fuld or brining back Reed Johnson.

Comments

Joey Gathright...(shudder)

Don't think it's 3/44, but as of 9 this morning, they're officially the Ricketts Cubs: http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/10/cubs-...

I sincerely hope that Rickett's first official action as CEO is completely non-goat related.

This seems like the prototypical Hendry acquistion.

(Buying at the absolute highest point of a guys value)

Agreed, Dr. Aaron.

Isn't it just worth it to keep Sammy Fuld at the cheap price and see if his bat can get going a little bit?

From the LA Times Angels blog:
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/angels_blog/2009/1...
"Figgins, even with his .086 postseason average, will be highly coveted in the free agent market, probably getting bids as high as $10 million or $11 million a year. The Angels won't go that high."
Will the Cubs go that high?

Good lord I hope not.

You can get Hermida,Hardy and sign 3-4 signability Amatures in July for that kind of money.

Fight the urge Jimmy. Make him fight the urge Mr. Ricketts.

Your still on the JJ Hardy thing? My god man what don't you get about them not trading Hardy to one of their main rivals in the division? Milton Bradley has a better chance of being anoited a Saint than JJ Hardy ever putting on a Cubs uniform.

agreed. I don't see any chance they deal Hardy to us unless it's a "it's so stupid that we can't pass it up type deal". Furthermore, I wouldn't be surprised if the Cubs are waiting on Castro at shortstop and will use Theriot until Castro's ready.

Will the Cubs go that high?

depends how stupid they decide to be this offseason, that would be an epic waste of money

Lou wants a #5 hitter in the worst way; a much higher priority for him than a Figgins-type lead-off guy.

Seems hihgly unlikely that they could jam both Figgins and a true #5 hitter into a $140 million budget.

where do you think Soriano is gonna bat?

Don't you think its dependent on our new hitting coach's success?

so I guess maybe he'll bat 6th...

finding a good defensive center fielder with the power you want to bat 5th isn't gonna happen I'm guessing. Maybe they'll find one a RFer by sheer luck, and keep Fukudome in CF, but I have my serious doubts...

Not a lot of available CFs that can hit fifth. Cameron could certainly be had on a one-year stopgap deal. Damon would be a stretch both at the 5-hole and in center at this point. DeJesus maybe could be had for the right prospect package. Crawford hasn't played a lot of center but could probably cut it out there, but that'd cost a ton of prospects. So would Carlos Beltran, though there was talk the Mets want to move either him or Reyes so they can buy some pitching.

So would Carlos Beltran, though there was talk the Mets want to move either him or Reyes so they can buy some pitching.

I certainly wouldn't count on Beltran getting moved.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2009/10/carlos-beltr...

fun note if you follow the link in that article, says RSox offered Youk and Shoppach for Beltran to Royals but they went for Buck and Teahan instead.

Pittsburgh has the notoriety because of the losing streak, and almost single-handedly because of Dave Littlefield, but there's a fine argument to be made that KC was the worst team of the decade.

if our main slugger keeps batting 1st this team has more issues than the guy batting leadoff.

Recent comments

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The first 600 characters of the last 16 comments, click "View" to see rest of comment.
  • "trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."

    that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.

    crunch 30 min 43 sec ago view
  • crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?

    And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.

    But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.

    big_lowitzki 1 hour 35 min ago view
  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 2 hours 20 min ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 4 hours 7 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 4 hours 8 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 4 hours 15 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 4 hours 51 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 4 hours 51 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 4 hours 54 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 4 hours 57 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 4 hours 58 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 5 hours 2 min ago view
  • i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.

    the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.

    some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.

    crunch 5 hours 15 min ago view
  • I read it as him saying it's not really that much of a concern and that the one time it really cost Lester, vs. K.C., was an anomaly.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 5 hours 20 min ago view
  • if jeff says it, it's cool...when i say it, it's straight from the mouth of hitler.

    aside from the lack of jeff touching on the insane leads runners take and lester's inability to throw if he's fielding, this is a lot of what i've said about the issue.

    exploitable, needs his own personal catcher to control his shortcomings, relies on his ability to get outs along with his personal catcher keeping runners in check before things become further exploited...

    crunch 5 hours 22 min ago view
  • That would be Rice Krispy Treat

    The E-Man 6 hours 41 min ago view