Cubs Sign a Cuban, But Not That One

The Cubs did sign an acclaimed player out of Cuba, but it's not Yoenis Cespedes or Jorge Soler. Rather 18-year old LHP Gerardo Concepcion. A player Kevin Goldstein called polished for his age, but with the ceiling of a #4/#5 starter and whom Goldstein would put at #6 on his Top 11 Cubs prospect list.  Standing at 6'2", he throws in the upper 80's to 90mph with a curve and a change-up (what's up Ted Lilly?). Considering his age and alleged polish, he should start in Peoria rather than hang back in Arizona and then join Boise or the Arizona Rookie League in June. Enrique Rojas says the deal is for a total of $7M and a major league deal, which means a 40-man roster move would be necessary. ESPN Chicago adds that incentives can take the deal up to around the $8M mark. All this makes the Jeff Samardzija draft deal look good.

The Cubs have also signed Ryan-Rowland Smith to a minor league deal. The 29-year old Aussie pitched in the Astros minor leagues after spending parts of 4 seasons in the majors with the Mariners, but I'll always remember him from this commercial. I presume he'll be added to the non-roster invite list for spring training.

Also, with Edwin Jackson signing with the Nationals, the Cubs at the moment own the #6, #43, #55 and #65 picks in the 2012 draft. Derek Lee and Raul Ibanez are the last two Type B free agents out there and there's no guarantee they'll sign, but if they do, they both rank higher than Carlos Pena in the Elias Rankings, so those last two picks I mentioned could drop to as low as #57 and #67 if I did my math correctly. BA put out an early top 100 prospect list for the 2012 draft for some early obsessing.

Comments

If YOU were the GM, then doing the above with Jackson/Byrd makes sense.

However, Theo has made clear on several occasions that he will not move minor league talent to the big leagues before the braintrust feels they are ready. Under this scenario, I don't mind a useful DeJeezus.

Useful. Well ok....if he's useful, I guess? Just color me not too excited to lock up a "useful" guy to a2 year deal, with an option....useful doesn't mean good. So spend $4.2 million this year and next on a 32 y/o OF putting up .275./350/.420.

Wooooooooo......get the championship banners ready.

The DeJesus deal hinges on 2 things:
1. Whether or not you believe his next two seasons will be roughly his career averages
2. If you believe in the WAR calculations/projections and the cost of a WAR on the open market.

If DeJesus produces at his career averages 284/356/421/776 he will be worth just under 3 WAR. The current price of 1 WAR is about $5MM. So DeJesus will pay for his contract with a single career average year. Translation: It's a pretty fucking good contract for the Cubs.

Please excuse my lack of excitement for signing league average players.
The cost analysis, $$ vs WAR is right...for the $$, if he produces at his career avg...great? He's 32, coming off a season where he had hand injuries. I'm just not going to jump up and down over a guy hitting 10 HR, 60 RBI, and hitting .280/.350/.400....

I'm a long-time DeJesus fan and my exuberance for him is, admittedly, completely strange and unjustified.

http://mobile.boston.com/sports/baseball/reds...

Cafardo's latest:
- Lannan for Bourjos talk
- New red sox front office harder to deal with for other teams
- 8 offers came in for fielder
- prior gonna keep trying, possible workout in march

I was stunned that he's apparently run out of things Cub to bitch about.

I also enjoyed the bit about the Sawks front office, and they said "But it's not BCherington's fault, he's a good dude."

More evidence LLucchino is a moron.

Go Giants!!!

"Charlie Haeger will miss the 2012 season after he "ripped up" his elbow while playing soft-toss this winter, according to the Boston Globe."

a knuckleball pitcher tears his arm up playing soft toss. *golf clap*

Happened to Canseco

I play soft toss after my wife goes to bed. No injuries thus far.

Aka the Silent Towel drill

Aka, the wet towel drill.

BTW, for those following the weirdness, here's a Matt Murton as a Lamassu (winged lion).
http://cubkaiju.blogspot.com/2012/02/lamassu-...

Like the new site, but alas, there's a typo in your opener.

And it took less than an hour for you to bring spam to our beloved TCR...

... Shame.

what spam? where? i love spam! especially on toast w/ strawberry jam and cheese.

Yeah, I didn't really want to spam, that'll be the last one:) I just like using blogger more than flickr. Typos are awesome. I don't like proofreeding.

End of America in 2012? Click on this link for important information on how to protect you and your investments:

http://www.thedailycrux.com/content/9701/End_...

Oh Roooobbb... ^^^^

Chicago Cubs @Cubs
Cardenas hit .314 with 28 doubles, 4 triples, 5 HR, 70 R and 51 RBI in 127 Triple-A games last year while fielding at 2B, SS, 3B and LF.

Chicago Cubs @Cubs
#Cubs claimed IF Adrian Cardenas off waivers from the #Athletics. In a corresponding move, IF Blake DeWitt was designated for assignment.

Former 1st round pick of the Phillies.

Bats left, which makes him a younger, cheaper version of DeWitt.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/play...

yawn. Puts baseball cap over eyes, goes back to sleep.

So comforting to know that Jim Hendry got a pile of useless shit, and the Cubs gained not a single decent prospect out of Ted Lilly.

Fuck you Hendry.

BTW, how many former/current 1st round draft picks does this make for the Cubs?

They add one by getting rid of another one, so whatever the number is, it stays the same.

too bad they didn't give Hendry more time and money.

now instead of getting something in return for dewitt the cubs can give him away for free when someone claims him. brilliance shared all around.

is dewitt a seattle M yet?

maybe there's enough interest to get a low-A ball guy with control issues if teams decide to trade before letting a lower team claim him. =p

I'm not quite as ho-hum as you are about this. DeWitt was one of the Cub players I actively disliked. Only one big bum left on the active roster, and we have all of spring training to trade/release. Weakest link, etc.

Addition by subtraction.

I never really disliked him, but I think he kinda sucks. He never lived up to his billing as a hitter. Even his best stretches scored his a 99 OPS+. He's not a good enough defender to play 2B, which is the only place his bat could justify him. His defense at 3B is supposed to be better, but he's not really a defensive asset anywhere. Just a bunch of unfulfilled potential that really gets frustrating to watch. I can't fucking believe that he couldn't beat out Barney after he cooled off partway through last season. Maybe that's all on Quade, though

he's too slow for 3rd.

people taking moving a guy to 3rd like it's nothing.

imo, a guy used to playing SS or 2nd doesn't mean they can shift to 3rd like 1st. it's very very very fast at 3rd and you get 1/2 your horizontal range taken away. your "view" goes from right-left wide to short-left/short-right and more of a vertical focus. it's claustrophobic as hell to some guys...not comfortable. you have less space to cover, but everything is faster and more reaction-based rather than smooth-mechanic-based.

that said, i don't find his 2nd base D bad...i wouldn't mind seeing him start if his bat was a bit more stable. he's got 30 double - 15 HR power in the bat, but it's inconsistent.

Among recent Cub prospects, Cardenas reminds me of Marwin Gonzalez, with a better bat and a lesser glove. (Gonzalez mainly has played shortstop, Cardenas second.)

To the question, why did the Cubs expose Gonzalez in the Rule 5 draft, Cardenas is the answer: another team will expose somebody just as good.

Can Cardenas challenge Barney at second? It's doubtful, since Barney is also a very serviceable SS behind Castro.

Cardenas/Baker platoon, Barney is your reserve utility IF. Problem solved.

Pages

Recent comments

Subscribe to Recent comments
The first 600 characters of the last 16 comments, click "View" to see rest of comment.
  • If it was 2006 Hendry would be there w a Bible and a contract
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/77...

    jacos 2 hours 21 min ago view
  • he subscribes to my twitter, he's beyond TCR. #yolo #swag

    crunch 2 hours 59 min ago view
  • Whoops. Maddon must have been reading TCR (for his daily crunch) and got confused.

    CTSteve 3 hours 1 min ago view
  • kuhl is a righty, not a lefty.

    i think maddon might think kuhl is a lefty, too. i wonder what the reasoning is for baez leading off vs a rightie.

    crunch 3 hours 42 min ago view
  • "trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."

    that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.

    crunch 4 hours 29 min ago view
  • crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?

    And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.

    But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.

    big_lowitzki 5 hours 34 min ago view
  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 6 hours 19 min ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 8 hours 6 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 8 hours 7 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 8 hours 14 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 8 hours 50 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 50 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 53 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 8 hours 57 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 57 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 9 hours 1 min ago view