Cubs vs. Marlins (Wild Card Round, Game 1)

The bizarre 2020 regular season has come to an end with the Cubs in first place in the central and four (!) NL Central teams making the sweet-sixteen style postseason. As the three-seed, the Cubs get to take on Marlins. A 3-game series unfolding without a day off will decide which team advances to the next round. Get ready for yet more strangeness from baseball in 2020!

CHC (0-0): RHP Kyle Hendricks (6-5, 2.88 ERA)
MIA (0-0): RHP Sandy Alcantara (3-2, 3.00 ERA)
First pitch 1:08 pm central (Wed., Sep. 30)

Darvish was undoubtedly the Cubs' best overall starter in the regular season. But he'll go in game 2 on full rest and Hendricks gets to go in game one. Perhaps this can be a reprisal of the role he played on opening day when he pitched an efficient complete game shutout against the Brewers. Hendricks went no less than 7.2 innings in each of his last 4 starts, allowing 5 earned runs and collecting 24 strikeouts (to 2 walks) across those 31.1 innings. Recent trade acquisition Starling Marte has seen the most of Hendricks and is only 6-26 with two doubles.

Sandy Alcantara gets the nod for the Marlins to open the series. He was out-pitched this season by Pablo Lopez, who also made 4 more starts than Alcantara. But Alcantara boosted his peripherals and suppressed runs more effectively in this shortened than in any other season of his young career. It's all pretty tiny sample sizes for the Cubs against Alcantara, but Contreras is 2-3 with 2 walks and Javy is 3-8 with 4 strikeouts. Rizzo is 1-5 with the roster's only homerun against Alcantara.

Comments

Yay for playoff games taking place in the middle of a workday? I'll be watching this one well after the fact. Enjoy, to all those watching it live on Wednesday afternoon!

There's a lot I hate about this playoff format and I hope we get back to 3-in with 2 teams playing a brutal 1-game playoff format.

i don't want to watch 162...or 150...games to see 16 out of 30 teams get a shot at winning it all.

we just watched the cubs drop 3 out of 4 to a team that was 15-38.  dropping a playoff series to a team that had the 5th best record and survived a 1-game sudden death playoff has a bit more legitamacy than a team that didn't even have a .500 record (MIL + HOU this year, btw).

Couldn't agree more. It was fine for this nonsense season, but playing a full 162, what's the point of pushing for 100 wins if 80 gets you in, and there's no real benefit to winning 100, as if you lose the wrong two games, you're gone 

I triple that motion.  Really liked the 3 in and 2 WCs with a 1 game playoff, best playoff setup of my lifetime.  It reinforces the importantance of 162, winning your division and there is a benefit to get that number 1 seed too. 

i wasn't initially on board with the extra wildcard team, but the 1-game playoff and having to start the next round almost immediately after burning a top pitcher really made that "extra slot" earn it's keep competitively.

i don't think i'm going to be won over by a 16-team playoff no matter how it's presented, though.

happ / rizzo / bryant / schwarber / contreras / heyward / baez / caratini(DH) / kipnis

ABC broadcast (all 3 games, W/Th/F)...

j.osich DFA'd...j.phegley added to be the "3rd/emergency" catcher

btw, the cubs play all early day games this round.  wtf...

cubs game suuuuuuuuuuucks.  straight garbage.

cin/atl is off the hook (scoreless in the 13th).

ATL wins, bottom 13th.

HOU advances over MIN.  part of me hopes this sub-.500 team makes it to the world series so more people can push back on this 16-team playoff stuff.  it would be eyerolling if it's 2 sub-.500 teams (MIL/HOU).

Hendricks battled but the Cubs luck ran out in the 7th. 

Lots of Cubs weak sauce on display this afternoon 

he also had his first 3-walk game since april 1st, 2019.

He was missing badly in the middle of the zone throughout the game. No idea why someone wasn't warmed up to start the 7th.

It really speaks to how hard he is to get to that he continually danced out of danger multiple times without his best stuff until the 7th. Once the 8 and 9 guys were on, he definitely shouldn't have turned the lineup over again. Agreed someone needed to be ready to throw 7th

Hendricks really did a great job today. You could tell he didn't have his best stuff but kept them off the board for 6 innings. Deserved better than the L.

Normally I'd say this one was on Ross for not seeing that Hendricks was done when the 8 and 9 hitters got on in the 7th but.... one run isn't going to win a lot of games.

Unfortunately scoring one run in playoff games is a continuing trend for this core group of Cubs

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  • crunch 8 hours 49 min ago (view)

    hah!  also uggg...i wonder what $20m-ish of k.bryant after a down season and uncertainty of april-june for "normal" baseball is worth to a team.  we will probably find out in a month or 2, though.

     

  • Charlie 11 hours 27 min ago (view)

    What's that, crunch? Kris Bryant for Robinson Canoe? Bold call!

     

  • George Altman 13 hours 50 min ago (view)

    Phil, you used to put out a Top 10 or 20 Prospect list around the end of the AFL. Sometimes you would update mid year if trades or draft warranted. This is not false praise...your lists were more impactful than BA, MLB, BP to me, let alone the Cubs fan board lists. Today, the only thing I give any credence to are your evaluations and Fan Graphs Top 40. If the evaluator has only watched video then, hell, I can watch video.

     

  • crunch 17 hours 28 min ago (view)

    there is no way the 2-3 guys that created most of those cubs reports have seen much more than youtube video footage as far as "live" scouting.

    they seem very dedicated and eager, but there are some questionable things in their scouting reports.

     

  • Wrigley Rat 18 hours 13 min ago (view)

    I'd REALLY enjoy reading Phil's list with scouting reports!!! I'd definitely trust his ratings more than most!

    Here is what the ProspectsLive.com website says about seeing the players: "Our evaluation team has spent countless hours filling these boards with highly in-depth scouting reports from live looks and film study."

    Either way, in my opinion, it's good to read other people's evaluations, even when they vary from our own. It gets us thinking about how confident we are in our valuations and how much we're willing to modify them based on other people's reports!

     

  • Hagsag 19 hours 53 min ago (view)

    Phil, I am sure you could put together a more realistic list.

     

  • Arizona Phil 20 hours 4 min ago (view)

    No offense intended, but did anybody at this site actually see these guys play? 

    Chase Strumpf has only "40" power?!! Andy Weber even has more power than Strumpf? Seriously? Strumpf actually has plus-power. In fact, HR power is his #1 attribute. His power tool is probably at least "60" (maybe "65").   

    Both Ronnier Quintero and Aramis Ademan are "45" run? Really? Ademan has average speed ("50"), and Quintero is Miguel Montero 2.0. His run tool is probably "30" (on a good day). Quintero's plus raw tools are arm and power.  

     

  • Hagsag 1 day 1 hour ago (view)

    Thanks for the info.

     

  • Wrigley Rat 1 day 11 hours ago (view)

    I just discovered this site: https://www.prospectslive.com/lists/2020/11/16/chi... (Sorry if you all know about it already!). 52 Cubs prospects listed with scouting reports! Really enjoying this one! :)

     

  • crunch 1 day 12 hours ago (view)

    we all knew trades were coming...getting rid of 1-2 of the core, but at this point i wonder how much (if any) of that free'd up loot is going back into the team.

     

  • Charlie 1 day 14 hours ago (view)

    He clearly did not want to be remembered for selling off the core and then walking away from the team a year later. Can't blame him.

     

  • crunch 1 day 15 hours ago (view)

    every other contender is full of rumor news for who they'll sign...and the hot cubs rumor is kris bryant won't be traded before the wednesday arb offer deadline.  wee.

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 day 18 hours ago (view)

    jdrnym: The MLB contracts that are tendered on 12/2 via Central Tender Letter are are non-guaranteed contacts.

    And a player signed to a non-guaranteed contract who is released prior to MLB Opening Day receives 30 days salary (paid at the minor league rate for players with split contracts) if the player is released more than 15 days prior to Opening Day, or 45 days salary (paid at the MLB rate for players signed to split contracts) if the player is released 15 or fewer days prior to Opening Day as termination pay. 

     

  • jdrnym 1 day 20 hours ago (view)

    If a player signs one of those deals that allows a split salary or incentives to be included, does that get treated like an arbitration salary in that it's only partially guaranteed until Opening Day?

     

  • bradsbeard 5 days 7 hours ago (view)

    Great info. Thanks! 

     

  • Arizona Phil 5 days 7 hours ago (view)

    BRADSBEARD: What happens on 12/2 is each club submits what's called a "Central Tender Letter" to the MLB LRD listing which unsigned players on the club's MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) are being tendered a contract and which unsigned players are not being tendered a contract. 

    The CTL is sufficient as far as providing proof of contract tender.  

    For players being tendered contracts, the CTL must list the club's MLB salary offer, a minor league split salary offer (if the club so chooses), and performance bonuses (if any) the club is offering to the player.