Cubs Preparing for The Big Freeze

11/26 UPDATE

The White Sox have claimed LHP  off waivers from the Cubs.

The Cubs claimed Clarkin off waivers from the Sox last Tuesday, and obviously the Cubs thought they could get him through waivers if they put him on waivers again right after claiming him.

The Sox apparently believed they could get Clarkin through waivers last week, but regretted losing him after he was claimed. So now they get him back.  

So the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) now stands at 38 (two slots are open). 

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11/20 UPDATE #4


The Cubs have selected the contract of LHP  from AA Tennessee and he has been added to the MLB Reserve List (40-man roster), and OF  and LHP  have been sent outright to AAA Iowa. 

Field and Vasto were claimed off waivers about three weeks ago (Field from MIN and Vasto from KC), and the third player the Cubs claimed off waivers at that time (INF ) would have been outrighted to the minors today, too, except he was claimed off waivers by the Rangers earlier in the day. 

So the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) now stands at 39 (one slot is open). 


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11/20 UPDATE #3


The Cubs have acquired 27-year old RHRP from the San Diego Padres in exchange for 3B .  

A native of Canada, the 6'3 234 Wick was drafted by the St. Louis Cardinals out of Cypress CC in the 9th round of the 2012 draft as a LH power-hitting catcher. He spent his first two seasons in pro ball as a catcher before moving to RF (where he had the top-rated OF arm in the minors), hitting 247/328./372 with 34 HR (and 237 K) in 224 games (760 PA). He became a part-time pitcher in 2015 and then moved quickly through the Redbirds system as a reliever (he features a mid-90's FB that touches 98 and a plus-CV that he uses as his strikeout pitch), getting added to the STL 40-man roster after the 2016 season (which was his first full-season as a pitcher). He was claimed off waivers by the Padres last February.    

Wick is a Draft-Excluded Player (he was outrighted to AAA by the Padres at the end of Spring Training and then was re-acquired on August 31st), so he cannot be sent outright to the minors during the off-season (the earliest he can be outrighted is 20 days prior to 2019 MLB Opening Day). Therefore, if the Cubs want to remove Wick from the 40 later this off-season, it would have to be via trade, release, or a non-tender on 11/30. 

The Cubs 2018 Cubs Minor League Player of the Year, Vosler (Cubs 2014 16th round draft pick - Northeastern) was a strong candidate to get added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster today if he hadn't been traded. He goes to a San Diego club that sold their starting 3B () to a Japenese club earlier today, so Vosler could get a chance to play the hot corner at Petco right away. 

So with the Wick acquistion, the Cubs MLB 40-man roster is now full... at least until the next shoe(s) drop(s) in a few minutes... 

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11/20 UPDATE #2


The Cubs have claimed 23-year old LHP off waivers from the Chicago White Sox. 

A star pitcher with the Team USA 18U team in 2012 and a 1st round draft pick of the New York Yankees in 2013 out of Madison HS in San Diego, CA, Clarkin was a one-time NYY Top 10 Prospect. He was part of the package of young players sent to the Sox in July 2017 in the trade that sent 3B Todd Frazier, RHRP David Robertson, and RHRP Tommy Kahnle to the Yankees. 

The 6'2 215 Clarkin features an 86-88 MPH FB with sink, a plus-CV, ans a low 80's slider, and he projects as a lefty ground ball inducing swing-man along the same line as Mike Montgomery, except Clarkin has minor league options left (Montgomery does not). 

The big problem with Clarkin has been health (he has had six DL stints in six seasons), including elbow, ankle, oblique, and groin injuries that resulted in considerable lost development time (it took him six years, but he finally got to AA in 2018). 

There are no restrictions on outrighting Clarkin to the minors during the off-season (he does not have Rule 6 Draft-Excluded Player status and he is not an MLB Rule 55 player or Article XX-D player), so it's possible that the Cubs will place him back onto waivers at some point if his slot on the 40 is needed for another player. 

So the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) now stands at 39 (one slot is open) with more moves still to be made today. 


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11/20 UPDATE #1


The Texas Rangers have claimed INF off waivers from the Cubs.

The from the New York Mets on November 2nd.  

So the Cubs MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) now stands at 38 (two slots are open). 

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11/20 ORIGINAL POST

Today (Tuesday 11/20) at 8 PM (Eastern) is the deadline for MLB clubs to file off-season with the MLB office, so the Cubs have just a few hours left to decide which of their 73 Rule 5 Draft-eligible minor leaguers to add to their MLB 40-man roster in order to prevent the player(s) from being eligible to be selected by another MLB club in the Rule 5 Draft. 

The 2018 MLB Rule 5 Draft will be held on the last day of the Winter Meetings (Thursday December 13th), and minor league reserve lists are used to determine eligibility for selection in the Rule 5 Draft. Once the reserve lists are filed, Rule 5 Draft eligible players on minor league reserve lists are essentially "frozen," meaning the player cannot be added to the MLB 40-man roster, transferred to a different minor league reserve list, or traded until the conclusion of the Rule 5 Draft.

However, free-agents can be signed to minor league contracts throughout the "quiet" (frozen) period (and free-agents who meet Rule 5 Draft eligibility who sign a minor league contract can be selected in the Rule 5 Draft), and players can be sent outright to the minors during most of this "quiet" period as well. (Rule 5 Draft-eligible players can be outrighted to the minors up until two days prior to the Rule 5 Draft, and all players sent outright to the minors prior to the Rule 5 Draft are automatically eligible for selection in the draft, even if they otherwise would not be Rule 5 Draft eligible).  

At present, the Cubs have one slot open on their  (40-man roster), so they can add only one Rule 5 Draft-eligible player to the 40 today without removing a player. However, it is fairly likely that the Cubs will add as many as three Rule 5 Draft-eligible players to the MLB 40-man roster today, meaning at least two more slots on the 40 might need to be cleared immediately, and then probably three or four more additional roster slots will be needed for MLB free-agents they might sign, a waiver claim, and/or even possibly a Rule 5 Draft selection in the near-future. 

While there is no guarantee that a club can get a player through waivers, the days leading up to the November roster filing deadline is (generally speaking) one of the best times of the year to try and "sneak" a player through waivers, because all clubs have prospects they don't want to lose in the Rule 5 Draft, and claiming a player off waivers when a club is scrambling to open up slots for Rule 5 Draft-eligible prospects on the 40 just creates more of a log-jam headache. So expect the Cubs to try and outright two, three, maybe even four players from their MLB 40-man roster today, to create additional openings on the 40. 

As I have mentioned previously, it's very possible that the Cubs will try and run LHP , OF , and INF  (who were claimed off waivers after the conclusion of the World Series) back through waivers in order to clear additional slots on their MLB 40-man roster. The fact that the Cubs (who have the #25 waiver claim priority) were able to acquire Vasto, Field, and Reinheimer off waivers means they have a good chance of securing waivers on the trio if they put them back on waivers again. And there would be no restrictions on outrighting Vasto, Field, and Reinheimer during the off-season, either (which is probably one of the reasons the Cubs claimed those particular players). They are not  so they cannot elect free-agency if outrighted, they do not have  so they didn't have to be outrighted by 5 PM (Eastern) on the 5th day aftef the final game of the World Series, and they do not have  status so waivers can be requested during the off-season. 


RHP  and OF  are in the same situation as Vasto, Field, and Reinheimer (no off-season restrictions on being outrighted), so they are also candidates to get run through waivers with Vasto, Field, and Reinheimer, the main difference being the Cubs signed and developed Tseng and Zagunis, so the Cubs may value them more than a player they claimed off waivers from another MLB organization.  

Two other players on the Cubs MLB 40-man roster (C-1B  and RHP ) have Draft-Excluded Player status, so they cannot be sent outright to the minors until 20 days prior to 2019 MLB Opening Day. And RHRP  is an MLB Rule 55 player, so he can't be outrighted until he signs a 2019 contract (and the Cubs can't force him to sign until the March 1st auto-renewal date). So other than by trade or outright release, the only way T. Davis, Webster, and Hancock can be removed from the 40 during the off-season is by non-tendering the player on 11/30 (the MLB contract tender date, which was moved up to 11/30 this year because the normal contract tender date of 12/2 falls on a Sunday). So it's considerably more difficult to get T. Davis, Webster, and Hancock off the 40 during the off-season than would be the case with Vasto, Field, Reingheimer, Zagunis, and Tseng, but an 11/30 non-tender would get it done (if the Cubs feel the player's slot on the 40 is needed for another player). And the added benefit of non-tendering a player on 11/30 is that he does not need to be placed on waivers in order to be removed from the 40, and he can be subsequently re-signed to a 2019 minor league contract after the Rule 5 Draft (if the player is willing).   

The Cubs added three post-2017 Rule 5 Draft-eligibles (RHSP , INF , and RHSP ) to the 40 on 11/20 of last year, so expect the Cubs to probably add (at most) three Rule 5 Draft-eligible players to their MLB 40-man roster today.

Bote was added to the 40 this time last year after hitting a robust 333/395/536 for the Mesa Solar Sox in the post-season Arizona Fall League (AFL). It's not unusual for the Cubs to assign a Rule 5 Draft-eligible player to AFL, to help the club decide which (if any) to add to the 40 on 11/20. So the AFL is often used as a "proving ground" for pitchers and position-players who are under consideration for promotion to an MLB 40-man roster. This year, five Rule 5 Draft-eligible Cubs minor leaguers played for the Mesa Solar Sox in the AFL.     

As I have mentioned previously, the Rule 5 Draft eligible minor leaguers most-likely to have their contracts selected and get added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster today are (in order) LHP , RHP , and 3B-1B . If a fourth player is added (which is unlikely), the most-likely candidates are (listed alphabetically) C-1NF , C , RHP , RHP , C , and C-1B .       

So far this season, the Cubs have added one player (RHRP ) to the 40 who was eligible for selection in the 2018 Rule 5 Draft. (OF-INF  was  added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster during the 2017 season, but he would have been eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft post-2018 if he wasn't already on the 40). 

In addition to deciding which players to add to their MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) to protect them from being selected in the Rule 5 Draft, the Cubs also must decide which Rule 5 Draft-eligible players to place on the 38-man AAA Iowa reserve list, as well as which ones to place on the 37-man AA Tennessee reserve list, and which ones to assign to the 35-man reserve lists of their Myrtle Beach, South Bend, Eugene, AZL Cubs, DSL Cubs #1, and DSL Cubs #2 affiliates.  

At most only 38 players can be placed on the AAA Iowa Reserve List (Rule 5 Draft-eligible players on the AAA Iowa Restricted List do not count against the AAA reserve list limit), and clubs usually leave two or three, sometimes as many as five slots open on their AAA affiliate's reserve list for minor league free-agents who are signed and for players who might be outrighted in the weeks prior to the Rule 5 Draft draft, and for players the club might select in the AAA Phase (a club must have as many slots open on its AAA affiliate's reserve list prior to the start of the draft as players selected by the club in the AAA Phase of the draft). 

The decision whether to place a Rule 5 Draft-eligible player on the AAA Iowa reserve list or on the AA Tennessee reserve list matters because players on AAA reserve lists can only be selected in the Major League Phase of the Rule 5 Draft ($100,000 draft price with a right to possibly eventually re-claim player for $50,000), but players on a AA reserve list and the reserve lists of affiliates from classifications below AA can be selected in the AAA Phase of the Rule 5 Draft ($24,000 draft price with no right to re-claim).  

While the Cubs did not select any players in last year's Rule 5 Draft, they did lose one player in the Major League Phase (RHRP  was selected by the Baltimore Orioles off the AAA Iowa roster) and three players in the AAA Phase off their AA Tennessee roster (INF  was selected by the New York Mets, C-1B  was selected by the Toronto Blue Jays, LHP was selected by the Houston Astros). Araujo spent 74 days on the Orioles MLB 25-man roster in 2018 before being placed on the DL with a sprained right elbow UCL for the rest of the season, so he remains an  and will need to spend an additional 16 days on an MLB 25-man roster in 2019 before Selected Player status is removed. 

Remember, all it takes is one MLB organization to like a particular Rule 5 Draft-eligible player for the player to get selected, so the Cubs could very well lose one or more players this year.

The Cubs have actually lost many more players in the AAA Phase of the Rule 5 Draft (most-notably 1B ) than they have in the Major League Phase over the past few years, a testament to the depth of their farm system. They are likely to lose a few more players in the AAA Phase of the Rule 5 Draft this year as well.  

So figure about 40 Cubs minor leaguers eligible for selection in this year's Rule 5 Draft will be available for selection in the AAA Phase of the draft, and once drafted, players lost in the AAA Phase are gone for good (or at least they can't be re-claimed). 

Comments

adrian beltre announces his retirement.

next stop, hall of fame.

Hey Phil any insight on the Mets releasing Jenrry Mejia? Curious as to why they would get him off the restricted list now instead of waiting until the non tender date.

jdmym: I don't know why the Mets decided to release Mejia when they did. AlI I can tell you is that a club must place a player back on the MLB 40-man roster no more than 14 days after he is reinstated from the Restricted List if he is reinstated after the conclusion of the MLB regular season, and no more than 30 days after being reinstated from the Restricted List if he is reinstated prior to the conclusion of the MLB regular season. So if I had to guess I would say that Mejia was probably reinstated from the Restricted List on 11/6, so that he would either have to be added back to the Mets MLB 40-man roster or released by 11/20. Or maybe it has nothing to do with some rule, and they're just tired of his act and want him gone ASAP and it just happened to be 11/20.  

Cubs claim Ian Clarkin, presumably to run back through waivers. 

Cubs Pitching Coach Jim Hickey resigns for "personal reasons." 

well then...damn.

hope everyone in the hickey universe is healthy and this is just some burn-out or "want more personal time" thing.

Recent comments

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  • JustSayin' 1 day 5 hours ago (view)

     I hear you but welcome to the world of Theo.  The team is always a step or two away from the World Series in his mind, whether that is true or not.  Therefore, the thing to do on the margin is to trade top prospects or younger guys on the roster for that missing puzzle piece, not build for the future.  I had a front-row seat for this as a Red Sox fan.  If Pedro Martinez doesn't insist the Red Sox sign David Ortiz for table scraps and Chris Bryant isn't the no-brainer second pick in the draft, we'd all be wondering what happened to that Theo guy who was in the Red S

     

  • Cubster 1 day 6 hours ago (view)

    Shogo Akiyama is a lefty bat, career BA at.301 w/ Seibu Lions.  Recent OBPs: .419, .385, .398, .403 and .392. HR 20-15 in last 3 seasons Stolen bases, 12 in 2019, 18 in best season (2016). Defense supposedly plus-plus, 7-10 assists (10 in 2016). Clearly a leadoff hitter.

     

  • crunch 1 day 23 hours ago (view)

    christian yelich committed internet homicide on yu darvish...

    https://twitter.com/ChristianYelich/status/1195462...

     

  • Charlie 2 days 3 hours ago (view)

    Little in the offseason could make me happier than the Cubs finding ways to retain the good MLB players who came up with them while remaining competitive. This Javy extension talk makes me much happier as a fan than the Bryant and Contreras trade talk.

     

  • crunch 2 days 3 hours ago (view)

    "Javy Baez. The two-time All-Star shortstop and 2018 MVP runner-up already has begun negotiations on a potential long-term extension with the Cubs, according to sources."

    also, some talk of being linked to shogo akiyama (CF, Japan, 32yo in April)

    https://chicago.suntimes.com/cubs/2019/11/15/20966...

     

  • crunch 3 days 22 min ago (view)

    j.odorizzi accepted his qualifying offer (17.8m) from MIN...so did j.abreu (CWS)....everyone else is gonna play the FA market.

    w.smith (SF) immediately signed with the braves for 3/39 (13m team option/1m buyout on the backend).  braves lose a 2nd round pick...which they'll probably get back when someone signs j.donaldson.

     

  • crunch 4 days 19 min ago (view)

    nice.

    it's not like i think he's something special, but if he had 5mph more on his stuff he'd probably be a top prospect in the system combined with his command/control.  he's got highly repeatable junk and he's still young enough there might be a little more velocity to discover.

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 days 3 hours ago (view)

    CRUNCH: As long as Carrera is placed on the AAA Iowa reserve list on 11/20 he should be safe from selection, and I would say he is in fact close to a lock to be placed on the Iowa roster.

    Presuming he is on the Iowa reserve list going into the Rule 5 Draft, I doubt very much that he would get selected in the Major League Phase because he hasn't pitched above Lo-A. 

     

  • crunch 4 days 3 hours ago (view)

    nice info...

    i'm low-key keeping an eye on faustino carrera if he's not protected...which he may not be protected.

    he throws junk, but he throws it well, and with great control.

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 days 4 hours ago (view)

    I've talked to Player Development people over the past many years about the Rule 5 Draft and how an organization goes about deciding whether to protect or not protect a player from selection. 

    STEP 1: How many of your Rule 5 Draft-eligible players are actually legit candidates to get selected in the Major League Phase?. Usually there a dozen or more who could conceivably/realisticaly get selected. You need to identify them and then carefully evaluate them. 
    EXAMPLES: See my lists above. 

     

  • crunch 4 days 6 hours ago (view)

    "There are no untouchables," Epstein said.

    In truth, the Cubs boss has said the same every year, but it certainly sounds like he means it this time. "We're in the 'information collecting' stages of the process," one general manager put it on Tuesday.

    https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28066390/there...

     

  • Dolorous Jon Lester 5 days 9 hours ago (view)

    I think, in relation to the higher profile guys like Javy or Contreras, they're trying to put some pressure on to sign extensions.

    That said I do think they're listening on everyone with the only name I haven't seen being Rizzo.

     

  • crunch 6 days 1 hour ago (view)

    i wonder where the cubs will go with things.

    there's a lot pointing to the cubs being expected to listen to offers on almost anyone.  as it is, on paper, the cubs could roll right into 2020 with no changes whatsoever and still field a very competitive team.  the whole "shakeup" thing seems to be a very hot topic from a variety of sources, though.

    bryant, contreras, schwarber have all been linked to "cubs may be listening" rumors...probably listening to anything on happ, bote, almora, russell, too...

     

  • Hagsag 6 days 1 hour ago (view)

    Even the Cubs should be able to out bid the Marlins!

     

  • crunch 6 days 1 hour ago (view)

    "According to Joe Frisaro of MLB.com, the Marlins are "believed" to have interest in free agent outfielder Nicholas Castellanos."

    by interest, i assume they mean they'd like to have some baseball rookie cards or his or maybe a hug from him.  i can't imagine they actually want to spend money on someone they could use to make their team better because that makes no sense.

     

  • Arizona Phil 6 days 18 hours ago (view)

    Prior to joining the Cubs in 2012 Scott Harris was Director of Baseball Operations in the MLB office, which means he received, reviewed, and approved all major league and minor league contracts and transactions, as well as providing MLB clubs with schedules, rules updates, and draft information.